

Though the US Federal Reserve’s first interest-rate hike of 2023 is smaller than those that preceded it, policymakers have signaled that more increases are on the way, despite slowing price growth. But there is good reason to doubt the utility – and fear the consequences – of continued rate hikes, on both sides of the Atlantic.
伦敦—俄罗斯 2 月入侵乌克兰是欧洲安全的分水岭。但北约与欧盟之间的关系仍因相互猜疑、体制竞争和缺乏有效合作而受损。这两个组织必须搁置分歧,精诚合作。
俄罗斯再次对欧洲安全构成了长期威胁。与此同时,乌克兰战争的经济溢出效应将加剧欧洲南翼的安全挑战。而且,当前涉及台湾的危机表明,中国的日益嚣张将逐渐在美国的战略思维中占据重要地位。
未来几年欧洲的主要安全挑战是加强对俄罗斯的威慑,同时保持应对其他威胁的能力。在威慑俄罗斯方面,北约显然是不可或缺的组织,因为除了其综合指挥结构没有替代品。乌克兰战争重振了北约的核心使命,即在威慑失败的情况下对抗俄罗斯,保卫成员国的领土。根据新的防御计划,北约的快速反应部队将从 40,000 人增加到 300,000 人。芬兰和瑞典将很快成为北约成员。
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