binoculars Marie Linner/Flickr

Dlouhodobé investiční výzvy

PAŘÍŽ – V době, kdy se nejhlubší hospodářská krize naší éry překlápí do sedmého roku, většina států OECD stále pracuje pod své možnosti. Očekává se, že růst HDP v nejrozvinutějších ekonomikách světa letos dosáhne v průměru 2%, oproti celosvětovým 3,2%. A rok 2016 zřejmě nebude o nic lepší, neboť výkonnost OECD se zvýší o 2,5%, zatímco ve zbytku světa vzroste HDP o 3,8% – což už se blíží průměru před krizí.

Dlouhodobé hospodářské vyhlídky globální ekonomiky jako celku však nevypadají růžově. Poněvadž společnost v mnoha zemích OECD stárne a růstový spurt ve velkých rozvíjejících se ekonomikách začíná ztrácet dech, očekává se, že globální růst HDP klesne z ročního průměru 3,6% v období let 2010-2020 na odhadovaných 2,4% v letech 2050-2060.

Toto snížení je možná nevyhnutelné, ale lze ho zmírnit. Klíčem k překonání současné krize a zvýšení růstového potenciálu světa bude zavádění takových politik, které budou usnadňovat a odměňovat dlouhodobé investice.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/yDFl2dZ/cs;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now