中国正在失去外交方略吗？

Jul 26, 2012 Kishore Mahbubani

发自新加坡——如果以购买力平价计算的话，中国占全球经济的比重将在2016年超过美国。这一切堪称是一场震惊世界的发展：须知1980年时美国占了世界生产总值的1/4，而中国只有区区2.2%；但在展现了30年的地缘政治竞争力之后，中国人似乎正在自废武功的边缘徘徊——何况如今正是最需要这种能力之时。

如果中国领导人希望利用本国的和平与低调发展来夺取全球霸主地位的话，那就未免太过天真和愚蠢了。因为迟早有一天美国将从地缘政治的沉睡中觉醒；种种也迹象表明：后者早已睁开了一只睡眼。

但中国已经开始犯下一系列严重错误。2010年9月日本在中国压力下释放了逮捕的中国渔船船长，但中方仍不罢休，要求日方道歉，并不断向日本执政当局施压。

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Peter Anderson Mar 18, 2013

Is there any surprise China would choose to appease Indonesia first? One of the central ideas motivating China's claim to the 'West Philippine Sea' etc is to achieve priority access for its traders and military to the Indian Ocean. There's more. Indonesia is also geographically 'behind' all the other nations resisting China's expansion into the area, so clearly a strategy of encirclement is not out of China's gameplan. China's influence over Australia - once again geographically 'behind' Indonesia et al. - means that the other nations are also potentially caught between a rock and a hard place, or a miner and his market.
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Sugandha Pahwa Nov 21, 2012

what is irrestible about the east shift ?
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Sugandha Pahwa Nov 21, 2012

yes
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Daniel Gomes Aug 19, 2012

Not sure if the author is just being naive or deliberately toning down its own opinion for fear of its repercussions given his prominent role in Singapore's diplomacy and the respective relations with China but... the fact is that if these hard-line policies were not decided on the highest levels of China's leadership then how to explain that soon after these events, China government created an official municipality covering a large cluster of these disputed islands? And what to say of "opening" blocks of Vietnam shore for tenders from oil prospection companies?
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Maurice Vilrokx Jul 28, 2012

asian intellectuals often are too much focused on the institutional analysis in my opinion.
As a result, they miss the particularities of the dynamism currently observable in the West, iniatiated by relatively autonomous citizens.
In other words: the west has had its class struggles too in the past century, which caused this liberated, autonomous public sphere.
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Back to Little England?

Edoardo Campanella

The United Kingdom's bid to withdraw from the European Union is typically characterized as a dramatic manifestation of British nationalism. In fact, it has almost nothing to do with Britain, and everything to do with English national identity, which has been wandering in the wilderness ever since the fall of Pax Britannica.

中国正在失去外交方略吗？

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