obama iran press conference Ron Sachs/ZumaPress

Что Обама сделал не так в отношении Ирана

ИЕРУСАЛИМ – «За» и «против» соглашения с Ираном по его ядерной программе будут широко обсуждаться на протяжении следующих двух месяцев, в преддверии голосования по нему в Конгрессе США. Но судить о так называемом <>«Совместном комплексном плане действий» нужно по его реализации, а на нее уйдут годы.

Тем не менее два момента ясны уже сейчас. Во-первых, самыми слабыми положениями СКПД – громоздкими и допускающими различные интерпретации – являются положения об исполнении и проверке. Так что некоторый скептицизм по поводу реализации вполне уместен.

Во-вторых, – и это будет ощущаться раньше, – само достижение соглашения между Ираном и пятью постоянными членами Совета безопасности ООН плюс Германией (П5+1) уже начало оказывать влияние на баланс сил в регионе. Возникает законный вопрос: осознавали ли вообще западные участники переговоров (и особенно США), к каким геополитическим последствиям приведет сделка?

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