Economics

الاسهم الجديده للاستثمار في البنية التحتيه

Mar 4, 2015 Justin Yifu Lin , Kevin Lu, and Cledan Mandri-Perrott

سنغافوره- ان مشاريع البنية التحتيه يمكن ان تكون من اكثر الاستثمارات انتاجية لأي مجتمع حيث ان لتلك الاستثمارات روابط واضحة بالنمو الاقتصادي ولكن بالنسبة للمستثمرين من القطاع الخاص فإن الوضع اكثر تعقيدا فمشاريع البنية التحتيه يمكن ان تقدم عوائد يمكن التعويل عليها وان كانت اقل من المعدل ولكن الاوراق الماليه الحالية عادة ما تفشل في توفير الهيكلة اللازمة لمثل هذه المشاريع للمنافسة مع الاسهم التقليدية او الدين .

وخلال الاجتماع السنوي للمنتدى الاقتصادي العالمي في دافوس –سويسرا في يناير دعا والتر كايلهولز رئيس سويس ري ورئيس الوزراء البريطاني السابق جوردن براون الى انشاء اوراق ماليه جديده للبنية التحتيه كما دعونا نحن ايضا في الماضي . اذن كيف يمكن للعالم ان يستغل بالضبط امكانية استخدام اموال القطاع الخاص في البنية التحتيه ؟

ان حجم الكعكه كبير كما ان الفرص المتوفره للمستثمرين من القطاع الخاص كبيرة كذلك. ان خط مشاريع البنية التحتيه في الاسواق الناشئه يقدر بمبلغ يزيد عن تريليون دولار امريكي علما انه من المتوقع ان يتم جمع 150 مليار دولار امريكي من مصادر خاصة وفي الاسواق الناضجة من المتوقع ان يصل الاستثمار في البنية التحتية الى 4 تريليون دولار امريكي بحلول سنة 2017.

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0 Comments on this paragraph, 7 Comments on this article

jagjeet sinha Mar 12, 2015

This asset class is an unknown to Fund Managers in the Private Sector domain.
This asset class is a quintessential hallmark for Public Investments.
This asset class is funded essentially by capital gains created by Infrastructure.
This asset class is why China Development Bank (CDB) is the engine room that transformed China.
This asset class is why East India Company was the engine room that transformed The Anglosphere.
This asset class is the reason why Public Sector is warranted - to undertake challenges Private Sector alone cannot.
Thank you Justin et al for sharing your minds.
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Octavio Colmenares Mar 10, 2015

NOthing new in this articule. We have always been looking for different way to fund the infraestrucutre projects and we, the ones in charge of getting thos funds, try to combines alla de possibilities in order to get teh best conditions: rate, amount, time, payments schedule, etc. One of the most important issues is the garanties giving by the government and the clause on changes in porject conditions. What makes this project complicated to fund are: time, country risk, type of infraestrcuture ans managment control over all.
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Prasanna Srinivasan Mar 10, 2015

The discussion about Pension Funds being suitable for long term investments in infrastructure has been doing the rounds for just about ever. But its clearly not translating into as much of investments. One part of the problem could be Funds' managers trying to look for higher returns rather than safety for less risks. A lot of the project cash flow risks for core infrastructure are underwritten to a fair degree (take the National Highways project structures in India, for instance), while gestation period risks are manageable. (FUnds could buy in when the project construction is complete replacing shorter term funds). It'd be interesting to hear why the Pension Fund managers opt for riskier investments.
- Blair Cowper-smith Mar 14, 2015
  
  Some good thoughts here.
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O S Mar 10, 2015

I read this article several times in order to understand this supposedly new asset class's features and novelty, but failed to do so. Is it mezzanine debt (i.e. between debt and equity)? Nothing new here. Is it supposed to be guaranteed by the state? If so, it should be super-senior, not junior to standard debt, and with very low returns. Construction risk? Sure it is a standard issue, but (i) it is usually taken (in equity) by constructors, who may also guarantee its debt (or the public sector can do it, or debt can be grossly covered by indemnities if construction is not completed correctly), and (ii) some (debt) investors start taking construction risk (in some project bonds).
I've seen a fair bit of financial creativity on these matters as well as on public debt, public procurement contracts or public accounting from a lot of brilliant minds but with no practical, hands-on, expertise, but I'm surprised to see that these guys (apart from the first one) should be in real-life investing and should know better...
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Joaquim Aragao Mar 7, 2015

I do not think this proposal is new, nor that it will work substantially. A relevant core risk in large infrastructure project is market risk, which in the rule is pushed away to the Public Administration, endangering severely its fiscal sustainability. It´s time to think of a kind of second generation of PPP, which would involve not only isolated projects but also a pack of related investment projects, both public and private, (but most of it private) in a given territorial circumscription. I think that, to the benefit of the (private) cash flow of the project, the Government could advance the construction and concede it to the private sector together with other related assets, under a new type of contract that would be concession for economic performance. As a counterpart for this, the contracted private party, a multifuncional and multisectoral consortium,should undertake the different commercial actions (and also encourage other private parties) to produce a general growth result (number of employments, contracts with local companies, all along the respective supply chains) and a net fiscal result that would pay the public investments and dispenses. All the financial public engagements should be accounted separately from the general fiscal control duties (limit of deficits), as long they are included in such a territorial program, and the results are supervised by the fiscal authority. It´s time to get out of the mental gridlock which we are trappend in!
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Frank Aten Mar 5, 2015

The can be productive but they can, and historically have been, nothing more than boondoggles. Bureaucratic creation of a "new" asset class will not in fact bring additional private sector funds. The idea of BHE is a non-starter in my opinion. Saying it will garner equity like returns is nothing more than a narrative and impossible to predict. There is no basis of say "risk would be further reduced by participation by large, influential investors". It is blatantly false that that would reduce the project risk of any investor. This is a fail from the start...keep trying.
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