EU flag ripped Laure P/Flickr

Europa of geen Europa ?

BERLIJN – De Europese Unie is sinds 2008, toen de wereldwijde financiële crisis losbarstte, geconfronteerd met een opeenvolging van crises: de escalerende Griekse crisis, het Russische revanchisme in Oekraïne, en de vluchtelingencrisis rond de Middellandse Zee (die onlosmakelijk verbonden is met de regionale crisis in het Midden-Oosten en de verschillende oorlogen in Afrika). Deze crises hebben de macht en instituties van de EU tot aan hun limieten – en hier ver voorbij - beproeft, wat de reden is dat het Europese antwoord zo beschamend zwak is geweest.

In het gezicht van de huidige dreigingen zet de ineffectiviteit van de bestaande instituties en structuren nu de legitimiteit van de hele EU op het spel, omdat de Europese burgers om oplossingen vragen waar de EU duidelijk niet in kan, en gedeeltelijk niet in wil, voorzien. Een consequentie hiervan is de afkalving van de steun voor de EU onder de electoraten van zijn lidstaten.

En het tempo van deze afkalving zou de komende twee jaar kunnen toenemen. Het lijkt nu wel zeker dat het Verenigd Koninkrijk in 2016 een referendum zal houden of het in de EU zal blijven, en een uiterst linkse partij – die net zoals in Griekenland vastbesloten is om aan de ontberingen van economische hervormingen te ontsnappen – zou komende herfst de Spaanse verkiezingen kunnen winnen.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/1AeQALt/nl;
  1. An employee works at a chemical fiber weaving company VCG/Getty Images

    China in the Lead?

    For four decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth under a centralized, authoritarian political system, far outpacing growth in the Western liberal democracies. So, is Chinese President Xi Jinping right to double down on authoritarianism, and is the “China model” truly a viable rival to Western-style democratic capitalism?

  2. The assembly line at Ford Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

    Whither the Multilateral Trading System?

    The global economy today is dominated by three major players – China, the EU, and the US – with roughly equal trading volumes and limited incentive to fight for the rules-based global trading system. With cooperation unlikely, the world should prepare itself for the erosion of the World Trade Organization.

  3. Donald Trump Saul Loeb/Getty Images

    The Globalization of Our Discontent

    Globalization, which was supposed to benefit developed and developing countries alike, is now reviled almost everywhere, as the political backlash in Europe and the US has shown. The challenge is to minimize the risk that the backlash will intensify, and that starts by understanding – and avoiding – past mistakes.

  4. A general view of the Corn Market in the City of Manchester Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    A Better British Story

    Despite all of the doom and gloom over the United Kingdom's impending withdrawal from the European Union, key manufacturing indicators are at their highest levels in four years, and the mood for investment may be improving. While parts of the UK are certainly weakening economically, others may finally be overcoming longstanding challenges.

  5. UK supermarket Waring Abbott/Getty Images

    The UK’s Multilateral Trade Future

    With Brexit looming, the UK has no choice but to redesign its future trading relationships. As a major producer of sophisticated components, its long-term trade strategy should focus on gaining deep and unfettered access to integrated cross-border supply chains – and that means adopting a multilateral approach.

  6. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now