Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras George Panagakis/ZumaPress

Discussions de grandes personnes autour de la Grèce

LONDRES – Bien que la Grèce et ses partenaires aient convenu d’un nouveau programme de sauvetage, le mystère reste entier quant à la manière dont s’achèvera la tragédie économique grecque. Une chose est néanmoins sûre : les gouvernements de la zone euro finiront tôt ou tard par abandonner une large part de leurs créances auprès de la Grèce. Leur refus d’admettre cette réalité ne fait qu’accroître les pertes qu’ils seront amenés à subir.

Nul observateur ne contestera que le gouvernement grec s’est à plusieurs reprises montré provoquant et déraisonnable, refusant par exemple d’accepter la nécessité d’une sérieuse réforme des retraites. Pour autant, le refus des autorités de la zone euro face à la nécessité d’un allégement de la dette se révèle tout aussi déconnecté du réel. Il y a trois semaines, la directrice du Fonds monétaire international, Christine Lagarde, a appelé au retour de discussions « entre adultes », consistant à faire face à la réalité des faits.

À cet égard, la dernière analyse de viabilité de la dette publiée par le FMI le 26 juin constitue un document de grandes personnes. Cette analyse présente clairement en quoi les dettes grecques resteront intenables à défaut de prêts concessionnels supplémentaires, et d’une extension des échéances de remboursement actuelles. Peut-être une radiation de dettes pour environ 50 milliards € sera-t-elle également nécessaire, énonce l’analyse. Seulement voilà, ces calculs reposent eux-mêmes sur des hypothèses irréalistes.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/nWA1SM3/fr;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now