Getting Past the American Election
The pundits have now weighed in mightily in interpreting the American presidential election. Did the outcome - together with Republican gains in the Congress - represent an endorsement of Bush's positions? Has the American electorate swung to the right? Are Americans now more concerned about "values?"
Like price in economics, a single electoral choice compresses a lot of information. It is a summary of whether, taking everything into account, a citizen prefers one candidate to another. A host of surveys is required to figure out what it really means, for the United States - and for the world.
This much is clear, however: there is little confidence in Bush's economic policies. The typical American family knows that it is worse off today than it was four years ago, and appears unconvinced that the tax cuts targeted at upper-income Americans brought the benefits heralded by the Bush administration.