世界经济的变化

纽约—随着2013年进入尾声,重振世界影响力最大经济体(除了欧洲)的努力正在让全世界受益。全球经济所面临的所有问题都是政治性问题。

在经历了25年的停滞后,日本试图通过采取前所未有规模的量化宽松重新振兴其经济。这是一场高风险实验:更快的增长可能会推高利率,让债务维持成本变得不可持续。但首相安倍晋三宁可冒险也不愿日本缓缓走向死亡。而从公众热烈支持的角度看,日本普罗大众也是这个看法。

相反,欧盟正在迈向日本拼命想要摆脱的长期停滞。这是一场髙赌注赌局:民族国家可以经历失去的十年甚至更长时间而活下来;但作为民族国家的不完全联盟的欧盟很容易因此崩溃。

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