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伦敦—2月份时,我注意到,考虑到此前12个月的政治剧变, 2016年底全球经济处于比许多人所预料的更强的周期位置。这一上扬之势贯穿了2017年一季度。据最新“临近预报”型指标,世界GDP增长将超过4%——也许是自2008年金融危机前夕以来最强劲的经济表现。



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