stock market Bryan R. Smith/AFP/Getty Images

地缘政治坟场上的哨声

纽约—随着马克龙在法国总统竞选中击败右翼民粹主义者玛丽娜·勒庞(Marine Le Pen),欧盟和欧元躲过了一颗子弹。但地缘政治风险仍在扩散。西方的反全球化民粹主义逆袭不会因为马克龙的胜利而戛然而止,仍然可能导致保护主义、贸易战和激烈的移民限制。如果分裂的力量保持势头,英国的脱欧可能最终导致欧盟解体——不管有没有马克龙。

与此同时,俄罗斯继续在波罗的海、巴尔干地区、乌克兰和叙利亚横行霸道。中东仍然充斥着几乎失败的国家,如伊拉克、利比亚和黎巴嫩。而沙特阿拉伯和伊朗之间的逊尼派-什叶派代理战争也没有结束迹象。

在亚洲,美国或朝鲜的边缘政策可能演化为朝鲜半岛的军事冲突。中国则继续与其域内邻国存在领土纠纷——其中一些有升级之势。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/QsdHdnv/zh;
  1. China corruption Isaac Lawrence/Getty Images

    The Next Battle in China’s War on Corruption

    • Chinese President Xi Jinping knows well the threat that corruption poses to the authority of the Communist Party of China and the state it controls. 
    • But moving beyond Xi's anti-corruption purge to build robust and lasting anti-graft institutions will not be easy, owing to enduring opportunities for bureaucratic capture.
  2. Italy unemployed demonstration SalvatoreEsposito/Barcroftimages / Barcroft Media via Getty Images

    Putting Europe’s Long-Term Unemployed Back to Work

    Across the European Union, millions of people who are willing and able to work have been unemployed for a year or longer, at great cost to social cohesion and political stability. If the EU is serious about stopping the rise of populism, it will need to do more to ensure that labor markets are working for everyone.

  3. Latin America market Federico Parra/Getty Images

    A Belt and Road for the Americas?

    In a time of global uncertainty, a vision of “made in the Americas” prosperity provides a unifying agenda for the continent. If implemented, the US could reassert its historical leadership among a group of countries that share its fundamental values, as well as an interest in inclusive economic growth and rising living standards.

  4. Startup office Mladlen Antonov/Getty Images

    How Best to Promote Research and Development

    Clearly, there is something appealing about a start-up-based innovation strategy: it feels democratic, accessible, and so California. But it is definitely not the only way to boost research and development, or even the main way, and it is certainly not the way most major innovations in the US came about during the twentieth century.

  5. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.