Провинциальная Европа

БЕРЛИН – Многозадачность – это не совсем сильная сторона нынешнего поколения европейских лидеров. Они справедливо дали кризису еврозоны ‑ центральному вопросу, имеющему отношение к будущему Европейского Союза ‑ главный приоритет. Но все другие важные вопросы ‑ прежде всего, общая внешняя политика и политика безопасности ‑ были практически полностью проигнорированы. И именно здесь – во внешних отношениях Европы, вопрос, абсолютно жизненно важный для будущего всех граждан ЕС – ренационализация ‑ снова поднимает свою уродливую голову.

Сегодня мы можем распознать контуры пост-американского международного (бес)порядка ‑ не только его новые структуры, но и его риски, угрозы и конфликты, которые все усиливаются. Для Европы ‑ и для остального мира ‑ финансовый кризис оказался катализатором далеко идущих изменений.

В Восточной Азии, наиболее динамичном и доминирующем регионе мира с точки зрения будущего развития мировой экономики, обостряется противостояние между основными державами ‑ Китаем, Японией, Южной Корей и Тайванем – по пограничным вопросам, территориальным претензиям, престижу и незавершенным историческим спорам. Добавьте к этому многолетний кризис на Корейском полуострове и тайваньский конфликт, который может снова вспыхнуть в любое время.

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  1. Television sets showing a news report on Xi Jinping's speech Anthony Wallace/Getty Images

    Empowering China’s New Miracle Workers

    China’s success in the next five years will depend largely on how well the government manages the tensions underlying its complex agenda. In particular, China’s leaders will need to balance a muscular Communist Party, setting standards and protecting the public interest, with an empowered market, driving the economy into the future.

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    The Sovereignty that Really Matters

    The preference of some countries to isolate themselves within their borders is anachronistic and self-defeating, but it would be a serious mistake for others, fearing contagion, to respond by imposing strict isolation. Even in states that have succumbed to reductionist discourses, much of the population has not.

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    Resurrecting Creditor Adjustment

    When the Bretton Woods Agreement was hashed out in 1944, it was agreed that countries with current-account deficits should be able to limit temporarily purchases of goods from countries running surpluses. In the ensuing 73 years, the so-called "scarce-currency clause" has been largely forgotten; but it may be time to bring it back.

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    Trump’s Republican Collaborators

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    How Money Could Unblock the Brexit Talks

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    Is Vladimir Putin Losing His Grip?

    In recent decades, as President Vladimir Putin has entrenched his authority, Russia has seemed to be moving backward socially and economically. But while the Kremlin knows that it must reverse this trajectory, genuine reform would be incompatible with the kleptocratic character of Putin’s regime.

  7. Right-wing parties hold conference Thomas Lohnes/Getty Images

    Rage Against the Elites

    • With the advantage of hindsight, four recent books bring to bear diverse perspectives on the West’s current populist moment. 
    • Taken together, they help us to understand what that moment is and how it arrived, while reminding us that history is contingent, not inevitable

    Global Bookmark

    Distinguished thinkers review the world’s most important new books on politics, economics, and international affairs.

  8. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin Bill Clark/Getty Images

    Don’t Bank on Bankruptcy for Banks

    As a part of their efforts to roll back the 2010 Dodd-Frank Act, congressional Republicans have approved a measure that would have courts, rather than regulators, oversee megabank bankruptcies. It is now up to the Trump administration to decide if it wants to set the stage for a repeat of the Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008.