2015 – das Jahr der Rückkehr der Eurokrise?

BERLIN – Die Eurokrise scheint vorbei zu sein. Zumindest haben sich die Finanzmärkte beruhigt, auch wenn die Wirtschaft in den südlichen Krisenländern der EU nach wie vor darniederliegt. Die gesamte Eurozone leidet unter einem faktisch nicht oder kaum vorhandenen Wachstum, Deflation statt Inflation und in den Krisenländern an einer anhaltend sehr hohen Arbeitslosigkeit.

Es kann daher kaum verwundern, dass angesichts der offensichtlichen Unfähigkeit der Eurogruppe, die jahrelange Krise zu beenden oder wenigstens jenseits ritueller Sparappelle und einer harten Austeritätspolitik so etwas wie eine Wachstumsperspektive zu eröffnen, in vielen Mitgliedstaaten der EU die Geduld mit der Austeritätspolitik zu Ende geht und aus dem politischen Raum großes Unheil droht.

Der Auslöser kann erneut Griechenland werden, denn wenn es dort nicht gelingt, in den kommenden Tagen einen Präsidenten im Parlament mit Zweidrittelmehrheit zu wählen, dann wird das Parlament aufgelöst und es finden Neuwahlen statt – mit dem hohen Risiko, dass dann die Linksozialisten von der Syrizapartei gewählt werden. Syriza müsste entweder einen gigantischen Wahlbetrug begehen oder wird mindestens auf einer Neuverhandlung der Rückzahlungsbedingungen mit der Troika (EU, EZB und IWF) bestehen und, falls diese scheitern, einseitige Konsequenzen ziehen müssen.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/0nP8PLp/de;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now