Dean Rohrer

Disruptivní desetiletí rozvíjejících se trhů

MADRID – Rozvíjející se trhy se v uplynulém desetiletí staly hlavním růstovým motorem globální ekonomiky. Podle banky HSBC se bude 19 dnešních států s rozvíjejícími se trhy v roce 2050 řadit ke třiceti největším ekonomikám světa a budou významnější než dnešní země OECD.

Rozvíjející se trhy již dnes představují 40% světového HDP a 37% globálních přímých zahraničních investic (FDI). A zatímco země OECD v roce 2011 nadále stagnují, rozvíjející se trhy zaznamenávají silný růst. Čína letos předběhla Japonsko v roli druhé největší ekonomiky světa a Indie přilákala FDI v hodnotě rekordních 80 miliard dolarů, což je oproti roku 2010 dvojnásobek. Brazilská firma Petrobras, která se už tak řadí k největším ropným společnostem světa, uskutečnila v loňském roce primární úpis akcií v objemu rekordních 67 miliard dolarů.

Rostoucí bohatství těchto ekonomik láká stále větší počet nadnárodních společností ze států OECD. V Asii dnes střední vrstva představuje 60% celkového počtu obyvatel (tedy 1,9 miliardy lidí). Čína se stala v roce 2010 největším světovým trhem automobilů. Nejbohatší člověk na světě žije v Mexiku. A k rychlému hospodářskému růstu dochází v prostředí nízkých deficitů, malého dluhu a kontrolované inflace.

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