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坎布里奇—在2016年美国总统选战中,当选总统唐纳德·特朗普对构成自由世界秩序基础的联盟和机构提出了质疑,但他并未提出具体的新政策。也许他的胜利所引出的最重要的问题是,始于二战结束的漫长的全球化阶段是否实质终结。
未必如此。即使跨太平洋合作伙伴关系(TPP)和TTIP等贸易协定失败、全球化速度减慢,技术仍然在推动生态、政治和社会全球化——以气候变化、跨国恐怖主义和移民等形式——不管特朗普是否喜欢。世界秩序不仅只限于经济,而美国仍然是它的核心。
美国人常常误解我们在世界中的地位。我们在扬威论和衰落论之间摇摆。1957年苏联发射人造卫星后,我们认为我们衰落了。20世纪80年代,我们认为日本人有十英尺那么高。2008年大衰退后,许多美国人错误地认为中国已经比美国更加强大。
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