危险边缘的东北亚

东京——中国拒绝如期出席今年的中日韩峰会将三国拖入了困难时期。尽管亚洲地区活力居全球之冠,但却缺少解决——或至少是缓和——激化地区紧张局势的国际争端的组织机制。因为当前的三方年度峰会带来了东北亚三巨头制度性对话的切实希望,中国不愿参与今年的峰会绝非好的预兆。

当然,各国往往选择在国际峰会上签署协议,而不是艰苦地讨价还价试图改善关系。但此次中、日、韩在紧张关系升级之际会面,三国领导人本可以借此机会加强东北亚的战略稳定局势。但实际情况却恰恰相反,紧张关系很可能持续下去。

稳定关系的第一步是领导人承认并向民众强调三国经济越来越高的依存度。贸易、投资和生产链正在以20年前人们无法想象的方式将中、日、韩三国联系在一起。1945年以后的欧洲历史证明,共同的经济利益为实现区域安全和历史性和解奠定了的坚实基础。

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