http://prosyn.org/27gTNeV/zh;
New Comment
Email this piece to a friend
Contact us
Please select an option
- Secure publication rights
- Submit a commentary for publication
- Website help
- Careers
- Advertise with us
- Feedback/general inquiries
- Education Subscriptions
- Corporate Subscriptions
Please wait, fetching the form
Please wait, fetching the form
Please wait, fetching the form
Please wait, fetching the form
Please wait, fetching the form
Please wait, fetching the form
Please wait, fetching the form
纽约—15年来，我一直参加在达沃斯举行的世界经济论坛。通常情况下，领导者们聚集一堂，分享他们对全球化，技术和市场正如何改良世界所持有的乐观主义。即使是在2001年的衰退中，汇聚于达沃斯论坛的人们依然相信下降趋势将是短期的。
但是这次当商业领袖们分享他们的经验之时，我们可以感觉到乌云密布。一位把握了会议精神的演讲者者提出，我们已经从“繁荣与衰退”阶段进入了“繁荣与大决战”阶段。新近冒出的共识是：会议召开时国际货币基金组织就2009年全球停滞作出的预测持有乐观态度，而本轮全球停滞的经济增长率是战后以来最低的。唯一的乐观音符是有人评论达沃斯的一致预测几乎总是错误的，所以也许这次的预测可能会被证明是过于悲观了。
同样引人注目的是缺发对市场的信心。在一个参与者甚众的献计群英会中，与会者被问及到底哪一项失误得为这次危机负责，结果有个答案回响不绝：相信市场能够自我校正。
To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.
To continue reading, please log in or register now. After entering your email, you'll have access to two free articles every month. For unlimited access to Project Syndicate, subscribe now.