Barrie Maguire


坎布里奇——英国国家统计局6月下旬发布经过修正的GDP数据似乎令人振奋,因为经济增长并未如此前所想的那样在2011-12年冬天连续两个季度出现负增长。报告认为 2008年全球金融危机后英国经济避免了载入史册的二次衰退(也称为“双底”),因此保守党政府理应对此感到满意。但事实并非如此。


如果采用美国标准,对爱尔兰2013年初 再次陷入衰退的报告也将有不同的解读。爱尔兰GDP从2009年后尚未收复2007年底峰顶及两年后谷底间一半的失地。如果按照美国的方法,爱尔兰根本没有摆脱最初那次危机。实际情况是,虽然小规模反弹一个接着一个,但最终都没有逃脱“二次探底”。

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