中国的美元问题

剑桥——

中国要到何时才能意识到不能永远增加美元的外汇储备?。目前,中国的美元储备是2万亿。中国是否想要在未来5到10年之内把美元的储备增加到4万亿?随着美国面临着金融救助带来的长期负面效应,以及不断增加的养老金的负担,中国是否想要重复20世纪70年代欧洲人的老路么?

在20世纪的50至60年代之间,为了盯住美国的汇率,欧洲人购买了数量巨大的美国国债,就像今天中国政府所做的那样。不幸的是,在随后的70年代,随着美国越战的巨额支出以及当时疯涨的油价,通货膨胀激增,于是,欧洲人所持有的美元的购买力迅速缩水。

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