新的世界乱局中的中国和俄罗斯

科索沃在没有俄国默认的情况下能否实现独立,而在没有中国积极善意的情况下能否给达尔富尔危机带来人道主义的和政治解决方案?这两大危机之间没有任何共同点,但是其解决之道却在很大程度上取决于这两大联合国常任理事国是否动用其否决权。

比较中俄两国相应的阻碍主要国际倡议的能力本身没有意义,但是这却是理解美国全球实力相对下降而直接导致的国际体系转变的有用工具。从这一观点来看,中东混乱加剧给中俄两国带来了机遇和风险。这些机遇和风险有可能迫使两国确定它们想要在世界上扮演的角色和展示的形象。

关键问题是:俄国是否在“错误的道路”上一意孤行,而中国在“正确的道路”上步履姗姗?

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