Jon Krause

新兴经济体能够拯救世界经济吗?

米兰——

在过去两年以中,工业化国家屡遭严重金融动荡;眼下又被日益深化的主权债务问题和高失业率搞得焦头烂额。与此同时,被认为更易遭受打击的新兴经济体却显示出强劲的活力。随着经济增长率回到2008年前的强劲水平,中国、印度和巴西的表现成为当今全球经济增长的重要引擎。

新兴经济体的高增长和金融稳定对工业化国家进行大规模调整大有帮助。但这种高增长会产生重大的长期影响。如果按当前的模式发展下去,全球经济将永久转型。特别是,用市场价格衡量,十余年后发展中国家所创造的GDP便将超过世界GDP总量的50%。

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