La hoja de ruta de Bush hacia el fracaso en Medio Oriente

Los seis largos años de políticas fracasadas en Medio Oriente finalmente han hecho que el Presidente George W. Bush reconozca que la alianza de moderados en la región que ambiciona sólo puede forjarse por medio de la paz árabe-israelí. En efecto, solamente mediante un tratamiento eficaz del conflicto árabe-israelí podrá rescatar el prestigio de Estados Unidos en la región. Pero la ronda de negociaciones de paz que Estados Unidos ha emprendido recientemente no sólo es muy tardía en la vida política de un presidente debilitado que ha sido derrotado tanto en su país como en el extranjero, sino que también está mal concebida y es poco convincente.

El firme rechazo de la Secretaria de Estado Condolezza Rice a entablar contactos con los sirios no es precisamente una política acertada. Los riesgos para un orden regional pacífico son demasiado elevados como para que Israel y Estados Unidos sigan negándose a poner a prueba la ofensiva de paz actual del presidente sirio Bashar al-Assad. Las manzanas de la discordia que echaron a perder los intentos previos para alcanzar la paz sirio-israelí tienen soluciones realistas, como se demostró en las negociaciones de paz alternativas realizadas recientemente entre un ex funcionario israelí y un sirio que tiene vínculos estrechos con el régimen.

Tampoco es prometedora la insistencia de Rice de apegarse a la fracasada “hoja de ruta” para un acuerdo palestino-israelí. La hoja de ruta, susceptible al aplazamiento y a la evasión por ambas partes, nació muerta. Tras casi cuatro años de su lanzamiento, ninguna de las partes ha logrado reunir la voluntad política necesaria para implementar sus disposiciones principales. Ni siquiera la idea extraña, reservada para la segunda etapa, de crear un Estado palestino con “fronteras temporales” es atractiva para los palestinos.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/ij2p05Q/es;
  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.