Politics

نسختان من أوروبا في واحدة

Nov 10, 2015 Kemal Derviş

واشنطن، العاصمة ــ تجري الآن مناقشات غير رسمية بشأن علاقة المملكة المتحدة مع الاتحاد الأوروبي. ومع ترقب انعقاد الاستفتاء على استمرار المملكة المتحدة في عضوية الاتحاد الأوروبي قبل نهاية عام 2017، فإن المحادثات تشكل خطوة أولى نحو التفاوض على التغييرات التي يأمل قادة الاتحاد الأوروبي أن تقنع الناخبين البريطانيين باختيار أوروبا.

وسوف تكون التغييرات مطلوبة بكل تأكيد. وكما يعلم رئيس الوزراء ديفيد كاميرون تمام العِلم، فإن الناخبين البريطانيين سوف يختارون ترك الاتحاد الأوروبي بلا أدنى شك في ضوء الديناميكية الحالية التي تتسم بها العلاقة بين المملكة المتحدة والاتحاد الأوروبي.

بيد أن كاميرون يدرك أيضاً أنه لابد أن يتعامل مع المفاوضات بحرص. فإذا طلب ما لا يطيق الاتحاد الأوروبي تحمله فسوف يبدو وكأنه قد استسلم، وإذا طلب أقل مما ينبغي فسوف يجد المشككون في أوروبا من البريطانيين المزيد من الوقود لتغذية حملتهم ضد استمرار العضوية.

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Diego Orlandi Nov 12, 2015

as much as it hurt me to say this, after many years I am also becoming Euroskeptic. I hope Italy leaves asap. we need to reassess the meaning of "sovereignty", and especially "democracy" in Europe. I am appalled by the different in media pressure between brexit and grexit. partys over lets go home https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=21cuQ8ye6Wc
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hari naidu Nov 11, 2015

This guy is sitting in beltway and deciding future of EMU or not.

*Cameron will be disposed as Tory leader by his Chancellor, according to Guardian - after PMs speech.

* Tories are in revolt and will take measure of Cameron's letter to Tusk and make it into a leadership battle.

* Brexit will not be a disaster for EU. May be for Berlin because it'll then have to deal with Paris a bit more seriously.

* There cannot be a in or out EU process in 21st century. EMU must invariably become entrenched and ultimately provide conditionality for membership. Otherwise EU will inevitably disintegrate and fall into disrepair, methinks.
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jagjeet sinha Nov 11, 2015

Interesting suggestions - the Heartlands wish is higher integration until EURO and FEDERAL REPUBLIC is real.
Great Britain perhaps with Germany and Scandinavia is more at home within a NATO ECONOMIC COMMUNITY.
Multiple currency zones inevitable, NATO inevitable - the issue is Siege-n-Surrender.
The Federal Republic has historically always enforced Siege-n-Surrender policy - Greece the latest episode.
Three G constantly battling history - without NATO, it will be all tears again.
So, real salvation is a trade off - EURO v NATO.
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j. von Hettlingen Nov 11, 2015

Kemal Derviş proposes “two Europes in one,” rather than a “two-speed Europe,” as David Cameron outlines his goals for renegotiating Britain's EU membership before his country holds the in/out referendum in 2017.
Currently the relationship between Britain and the EU leaves much to be desired. Many complain about red tape, the loss of sovereignty and the costs. According to the author, "British voters would undoubtedly choose to leave the EU." To avoid a Brexit, it would need to be a two-speed Europe. Cameron is confident that a Brexit would hurt the EU more than the vice versa and demands changes, which are badly "needed." EU leaders hope also that British voters would opt for an "in" vote. Much is at stake! Both sides seek to meet one another halfway, and to "handle the negotiations with care". The impact of an "out" would be negative both for the union as a whole, and for Britain. Europe risks losing a vital partner who is both effective and influential in so many important international spheres.
The most crucial issue is about the eurozone. The author proposes to "divide Europe into two groups." While those in the eurozone "must pursue further integration," others, which want to "preserve more national sovereignty", should be able to participate in "major decision-making processes" without discrimination. Cameron urges for Britain's exemption from "ever-closer union" and protection of the single market for Britain and other non-euro countries - Denmark, Sweden, Poland, and some other Eastern European countries.
The author insits on a new eurozone parliament, "formed either by a subset of members of the larger European Parliament, or by some combination of representatives from the European Parliament and national parliaments." But Cameron wants to bolster national parliaments and take matters into their own hands. No doubt the "existing European treaties" or the "agreement by eurozone members on a new treaty, like the “fiscal compact” need to be changed. By focusing on “two Europes in one,” rather than a “two-speed Europe,” the continent would be able to forge its own destiny and organize itself.
This proposal would allow those who do not wish to share the single currency, or "engage in the kind of fiscal cooperation that must eventually come with it, to make that choice." The author warns against "the complications of having multiple Europes." The problem is that integration has reached a critical mass that it has to either move on or to break up.
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نسختان من أوروبا في واحدة

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