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Las consecuencias económicas de un parlamento sin una mayoría absoluta

MANCHESTER – Se suponía que la elección que acaba de tener lugar en el Reino Unido iba a arrojar -como decía el eslogan de campaña del Partido Conservador- un gobierno "fuerte y estable". Terminó consiguiendo lo contrario: el resultado fue un parlamento sin una mayoría absoluta y la posibilidad de otra elección general más avanzado el año.

Mientras tanto, el reloj sigue corriendo para concluir las negociaciones con los otros 27 miembros de la UE sobre el retiro del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea. Para cualquiera que tenga idea de lo exigentes y complicadas que serán las conversaciones por el Brexit, y de lo mal preparados que están para ellas los políticos y los funcionarios británicos, la perspectiva es desalentadora.

Si bien un parlamento sin una mayoría absoluta, en momentos en que los Tories intentan formar un gobierno minoritario, podría inclinar la política británica en dirección de un Brexit "más blando", por lo menos en términos de la futura relación comercial con la UE, tal vez deje a los líderes políticos de Gran Bretaña en peores condiciones para llevar adelante las negociaciones. Los británicos tendrán que esperar que los líderes de la UE estén dispuestos a mostrar cierta compasión: después de todo, el único mensaje claro de los votantes fue su falta de confianza en las alternativas sobre la mesa.

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