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最新民调显示选民意见十分接近。首相卡梅伦宣称他已经赢得英国欧盟伙伴国的让步,这应该消除公众对于向布鲁塞尔让渡主权和东欧工人涌入英国的担忧。但卡梅伦的保守党及其自身的内阁也陷入了深深的分歧,而伦敦的民粹主义市长鲍里斯·约翰逊(Boris Johnson)已经加入支持英国退出阵营。


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