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Brexit и будущее Европы

ПАРИЖ – Никому еще не известно, когда Соединенное Королевство представит план переговоров по своему выходу из Европейского Союза. Но уже сейчас ясно, что Brexit изменит карту Европы. И, особенно учитывая ошеломляющую неготовность Великобритании к последствиям своего собственного решения – ее стратегия, приоритеты, и даже ее сроки остаются неопределенными – это означает, что ЕС должен начать думать о том, как найти достойное решение. Это могло бы выглядеть так.

Давайте начнем лишь с определенностей: переговоры Brexit будут долгими, сложными и напряженными, а развод будет иметь далеко идущие геополитические последствия. Незамедлительное влияние - это прекращение 60-летнего процесса интеграции. Европа пострадает в краткосрочной и среднесрочной перспективе, так как вероятнее всего, в течение следующих пяти лет, значительная политическая энергия будет посвящена Brexit, в то время, как ЕС понадобятся силы, чтобы противостоять внутренним и внешним опасностям. В долгосрочной перспективе, Brexit может ускорить выход Европы из высшего списка, принимающих решения на мировом уровне.

Великобритания не избежит этих последствий. В то время как она может выйти из ЕС, она не может покинуть Европу.

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