John Overmyer

Афины, Китай

ПЕКИН. Пока остальной мир принимает меры против последствий финансового кризиса или против развивающегося кризиса суверенного долга, Китай пытается справиться с риском чрезмерного ускорения экономического развития и/или риском создания «пузыря активов».

Многие факторы, возможно, толкают экономику Китая в этом направлении. Один из самых волнующих факторов – фактор, благодаря которому разразился нынешний кризис в еврозоне: быстрорастущий государственный долг. В еврозоне проблемой является суверенный долг стран-членов; в Китае проблемой являются займы, которые связаны с региональными правительствами.

В еврозоне раздутая система социального обеспечения, частично из-за быстро растущего количества пенсионеров, и экономический спад, вызванный финансовым кризисом, являются ключевыми компонентами проблемы структурного долга. В Китае местное руководство увеличивает займы, с целью гарантировать, чтобы скорость экономического роста их регионов оставалась на уровне двузначной цифры.

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  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

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    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

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    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
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    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

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    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

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    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

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  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

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