Paul Lachine

我们做好迎接多极世界经济的准备了吗?

华盛顿——

当全球经济在经受信心危机、结构性失衡和暗淡增长前景的时候,要看到十年后的发展进程需要精心构筑模型,而且光有远见是不够的。我们需要的是融合历史观念和当前驱动力——比如全球增长平衡向新兴世界的偏移——的多层面方法。

作此类预测还要求理解发达经济体将怎样面对这一偏移以及由此带来的国际货币体系调整。在研究了这些因素之后,我们认为世界经济正处于向多极世界经济秩序转型的变革边沿。

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