Реализм о Северной Корее

БЕРЛИН – Дать ответ на воинственное бряцание оружием Северной Кореи – задача для всего мира – ничуть не облегчается тем фактом, что противостоять придется бедной стране, победа над которой уже почти одержана с минимальными затратами. Даже напротив, именно в таких условиях критически необходим взвешенный расчет.

Гений князя Габсбургской империи Клеменса фон Меттерниха во время разработки нового международного порядка после наполеоновских войн заключался в том, что он не стал загонять в угол потерпевшую поражение Францию. Несмотря на то что Меттерних стремился предотвратить любую возможность возрождения Франции, он позволил ей вернуться к довоенным границам.

В качестве противоположного примера, как утверждал Генри Киссинджер, победители в первой мировой войне не могли ни сдерживать побежденную Германию, ни предложить ей достаточные стимулы для подписания Версальского договора. Вместо этого они создали жесткие условия, надеясь навсегда ослабить Германию. И мы знаем, чем этот план закончился.

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