Обменные курсы в 2009г: очередные американские горки?

КЕМБРИДЖ – 2008 год был исключительно бурным в отношении колебаний курса валютного обмена. ampnbsp;Доллар вырос, японская йена поднялась за облака, евро спустилось на землю, и Британский фунт стерлингов провалился, оставив за собой гигантский кратер. Был задержан рост валюты развивающихся стран и так называемых «сырьевых валют», т.е. канадского, австралийского и новозеландского доллара и южноафриканского ранда. В целом, пострадали денежные единицы всех стран, которые в большой степени зависят от товарного экспорта.ampnbsp; ampnbsp;

Итак, что станет с курсом обмена валют в Новом году?

В то время как непостоянство остается единственным, что можно предсказать с уверенностью, необычное стечение обстоятельств, в которых мы оказались, делает кратковременные тенденции весьма отличными от долгосрочного направления развития. В краткие сроки, побег перепуганных инвесторов в поисках спасения послужит к усилению йены и доллара. К тому же йена и доллар усиливаются благодаря тому, что центральные банки повсюду продолжают снижать процентные ставки, приближая их к нулю – зона, которую тарифная политика между долларом и йеной уже занимает.ampnbsp; ampnbsp;ampnbsp;ampnbsp;ampnbsp;ampnbsp;

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