Paul Lachine

Три дефицита Америки

БЕРКЛИ. Этот год начался с серии докладов, содержащих привлекательные доказательства того, что восстановление экономики в Соединенных Штатах усиливается. Темпы создания новых рабочих мест выросли, показатели производства и услуг улучшились, а потребительские расходы были больше, чем ожидалось. Но слишком рано праздновать победу.

Темпы роста производства в США по-прежнему анемичны, а экономика сталкивается с тремя значительными дефицитами: дефицитом рабочих мест, дефицитом инвестиций и долгосрочным бюджетным дефицитом, ни один из которых, вероятно, не будет решен в год выборов.

Несмотря на то что производство в настоящее время выше, чем в четвертом квартале 2007 года, оно остается намного ниже того уровня, который мог бы быть, если бы полностью были использованы трудовые ресурсы и производительность. Этот разрыв ‑ между фактическим и потенциальным производством ‑ оценивается более чем в 7% ВВП (более 1 трлн долларов США).

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