幽灵式的复苏?

纽约——

美国乃至全球的经济正在驶向何方?去年有两个不同的观点。一种观点认为,此次危机是V型——时间短,程度浅。时间大概仅仅持续8个月。就像1990-1991年和2001年发生的两次危机那样。世界经济不会受到美国衰退的影响。

另一种观点认为,这当然也包括我的看法,考虑到私营经济(例如家庭,金融机构和公司等)的金融杠杆过度使用,此次危机可能是U型——这意味这持续的时间长而且程度很深。时间的跨度是24个月。美国的衰退也将拖累整个世界的经济。

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