Chris Van Es

伊朗的一线希望

柏林——哈桑·鲁哈尼在伊朗总统选举中获胜出乎所有人的预料。在八人参与的激烈竞选中,就连最高领袖哈梅内伊可能也对鲁哈尼的首轮获胜吃惊不小。于是与伊朗的核计划及叙利亚内战谈判很有可能出现新的动态。但中东局势就是如此:你永远不知道接下来会发生什么。

今年是伊朗和德、法、英这欧洲三驾马车就伊朗核计划启动外长级谈判的十周年纪念日。当时我代表德国见证了这一历史时刻,鲁哈尼则率领伊朗代表团参加。

德国和联合国安理会五大常任理事国与伊朗的扩大会谈直到今天仍在继续,但没有取得任何切实成果。如今鲁哈尼重新面对伊朗的高风险核计划,只不过这次身份换成了总统。我们——和他应该抱有怎样的期望?

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/nb0Xq72/zh;
  1. An employee works at a chemical fiber weaving company VCG/Getty Images

    China in the Lead?

    For four decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth under a centralized, authoritarian political system, far outpacing growth in the Western liberal democracies. So, is Chinese President Xi Jinping right to double down on authoritarianism, and is the “China model” truly a viable rival to Western-style democratic capitalism?

  2. The assembly line at Ford Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

    Whither the Multilateral Trading System?

    The global economy today is dominated by three major players – China, the EU, and the US – with roughly equal trading volumes and limited incentive to fight for the rules-based global trading system. With cooperation unlikely, the world should prepare itself for the erosion of the World Trade Organization.

  3. Donald Trump Saul Loeb/Getty Images

    The Globalization of Our Discontent

    Globalization, which was supposed to benefit developed and developing countries alike, is now reviled almost everywhere, as the political backlash in Europe and the US has shown. The challenge is to minimize the risk that the backlash will intensify, and that starts by understanding – and avoiding – past mistakes.

  4. A general view of the Corn Market in the City of Manchester Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    A Better British Story

    Despite all of the doom and gloom over the United Kingdom's impending withdrawal from the European Union, key manufacturing indicators are at their highest levels in four years, and the mood for investment may be improving. While parts of the UK are certainly weakening economically, others may finally be overcoming longstanding challenges.

  5. UK supermarket Waring Abbott/Getty Images

    The UK’s Multilateral Trade Future

    With Brexit looming, the UK has no choice but to redesign its future trading relationships. As a major producer of sophisticated components, its long-term trade strategy should focus on gaining deep and unfettered access to integrated cross-border supply chains – and that means adopting a multilateral approach.

  6. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now