CAMBRIDGE: Two views of the world economy exist today. One proclaims a new golden age, akin to the late 19th century when capitalism blossomed. The other says capitalism has run its course, not on its ability to produce but as a socially acceptable process for governing human relations in the market. The first is attractive to an economist for whom the spread of markets foreshadow a pattern of prosperity and progress. The latter view is heard from those who feel that capitalism has won on production but lost on equity; they believe mankind should find a new mode of sharing. An elevating thought, but it is not around the corner. So focus on what is at hand, namely unprecedented scope for capitalism.
The late 19th century ushered in the beginning of freedom of movement for both people and capital. Joseph Schumpeter, whose analysis of capitalist development focused on "creative destruction" recognized that when an old world breaks down, growth potential is mobilized everywhere and new structures emerge that can incite a large, protracted growth spurt.
The world today has moved into such a Schumpeterian opportunity. The immediate reasons are fourfold:
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The latest Gaza war presents the United States and governments across the Middle East with an opportunity to end Hamas and Iran’s cynical project of creating chaos. But first, Israel must be stopped from expelling the Palestinians from Gaza, as that would radicalize and destabilize the entire region.
warns that Israel’s scorched-earth Gaza campaign risks playing into its enemies’ hands.
The long-standing economic consensus that interest rates would remain low indefinitely, making debt cost-free, is no longer tenable. Even if inflation declines, soaring debt levels, deglobalization, and populist pressures will keep rates higher for the next decade than they were in the decade following the 2008 financial crisis.
thinks that policymakers and economists must reassess their beliefs in light of current market realities.
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CAMBRIDGE: Two views of the world economy exist today. One proclaims a new golden age, akin to the late 19th century when capitalism blossomed. The other says capitalism has run its course, not on its ability to produce but as a socially acceptable process for governing human relations in the market. The first is attractive to an economist for whom the spread of markets foreshadow a pattern of prosperity and progress. The latter view is heard from those who feel that capitalism has won on production but lost on equity; they believe mankind should find a new mode of sharing. An elevating thought, but it is not around the corner. So focus on what is at hand, namely unprecedented scope for capitalism.
The late 19th century ushered in the beginning of freedom of movement for both people and capital. Joseph Schumpeter, whose analysis of capitalist development focused on "creative destruction" recognized that when an old world breaks down, growth potential is mobilized everywhere and new structures emerge that can incite a large, protracted growth spurt.
The world today has moved into such a Schumpeterian opportunity. The immediate reasons are fourfold:
To continue reading, register now.
Subscribe now for unlimited access to everything PS has to offer.
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