1929 или 1989?

ПАРИЖ – по мере расширения и усугубления экономического кризиса, мир обратился к истории в поисках параллелей, которые могли бы помочь пониманию того, что происходит. В самом начале кризиса многие сравнивали его с 1982 или с 1973 годами, что являлось некоторым утешением, поскольку обе даты относятся к примерам классического циклического спада.  

Сегодняшнее настроение является намного более пессимистичным, с изобилием ссылок на 1929 и 1931 года, даже если некоторые правительства продолжают действовать так, как если бы кризис являлся скорее классическим случаем, чем исключением. Общие тенденции сводятся либо к чрезмерному ограничению (Европа), или рассредоточению усилий (США). Европа проявляет осторожность во имя избежания долгов и защиты евро, в то время как США начали активную деятельность во множестве направлений, чтобы не упустить идеальную возможность проведения крайне необходимых структурных реформ.  

Первой датой, которая как по политическим, так и по экономическим ассоциациям приходит на ум геостратегам, является 1989 год. Разумеется, падение дома братьев Леман (компании Lehman Brothers) не имеет ничего общего с падением Берлинской стены. Действительно, на первый взгляд эти явления кажутся полностью противоположными: падение стены, символизирующей опрессию и искуственные границы, с одной стороны, и крах казалось бы несокрушимой и уверенной в себе организации финансового капитализма, с другой. 

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