Золото по 10 000 долларов?

САН-ФРАНЦІСКО. Разговор о стоимости золота редко получается рациональным, тем более в последнее время, так как цены на золото выросли более чем на 300% за десятилетие. Еще в декабре прошлого года экономисты-коллеги Мартин Фельдштейн и Нуриэль Рубини опубликовали свои пророческие статьи в колонках альтернативных мнений, храбро ставя в них под вопрос стремление игры на повышение, благоразумно указывая на риски золота.

И что бы вы думали? С тех пор как вышли их статьи, стоимость золота повысилась еще больше. Недавно цена на золото даже достигла рекордной отметки в 1 300 долларов за унцию. В декабре прошлого года многие сторонники сохранения денежных функций золота утверждали, что его цена неизбежно дойдет до 2 000 долларов. Теперь, воодушевленные постоянным ростом цен, некоторые считают, что цена на золото может вырасти еще сильнее.

Один успешный инвестор в золото недавно объяснил мне, что цена акций падала в течение более десятилетия, прежде чем в начале 1980-х гг. индекс Доу Джонса пересек 1 000 отметку. С тех пор данный индекс постоянно рос и уже превысил 10 000 отметку. Теперь, когда цена на золото пересекла магический барьер в 1 000 долларов, не может ли она также вырасти в десять раз?

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