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Kenneth Rogoff

Kenneth Rogoff

Writing for PS since 2002
248 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Kenneth Rogoff, Professor of Economics and Public Policy at Harvard University and recipient of the 2011 Deutsche Bank Prize in Financial Economics, was the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund from 2001 to 2003. He is co-author of This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton University Press, 2011) and author of The Curse of Cash (Princeton University Press, 2016).

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  1. Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?
    rogoff247_Eduardo ParraEuropa Press via Getty Images_spanish stock Eduardo Parra/Europa Press via Getty Images

    Can Europe’s Economy Exceed Expectations in 2024?

    Apr 5, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff sees several reasons to be more optimistic than current forecasts suggest.

  2. What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?
    rogoff246_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_nyse Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    What’s Behind the US Stock-Market Disconnect?

    Mar 4, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that investors are underestimating the severity of the threat to American democracy.

  3. Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy
    rogoff245_ Spencer PlattGetty Images_us economy Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Don’t Count on a Soft Landing for the Global Economy

    Feb 2, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff explains why the celebratory mood of CEOs and political leaders is premature – and probably misplaced.

  4. The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods
    rogoff244_Carl CourtGetty Images_global economy Carl Court/Getty Images

    The Global Economy Is Not Out of the Woods

    Jan 3, 2024 Kenneth Rogoff warns that monetary tightening and fiscal deficits could undermine the post-pandemic recovery.

  5. Higher Interest Rates Are Here to Stay
    rogoff243_Michael M. SantiagoGetty Images_interest Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images

    Higher Interest Rates Are Here to Stay

    Dec 5, 2023 Kenneth Rogoff thinks that policymakers and economists must reassess their beliefs in light of current market realities.

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  1. ackerman2_Brian van der Brug  Los Angeles Times via Getty Images_preschool Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images

    America’s Childcare Is Unfit for the Postmodern Age

    Bruce Ackerman urges US President Joe Biden to put universal preschool at the center of his re-election campaign.
  2. acemoglu72_ Hulton ArchiveGetty Images_cottonhandweaving Hulton Archive/Getty Images

    History Already Tells Us the Future of AI

    Daron Acemoglu & Simon Johnson find policy lessons for the 2020s in the work of the early-nineteenth-century economist David Ricardo.
  3. silber3_William Thomas CainGetty Images_trumpplazahotel William Thomas Cain/Getty Images

    Trump and the Risk of a US Debt Default

    William L. Silber thinks the former president would be even more reckless if awarded another term this year.
  4. lboone2_Celestino ArceNurPhoto via Getty Images_ukraine Celestino Arce/NurPhoto via Getty Images

    Europe’s Red Tape Is Helping Russia

    Laurence Boone & Nicu Popescu

    The European Union’s cumbersome and narrowly defined regulations for public procurement and spending are not simply inadequate; they are dangerous. They weaken the bloc’s ability to protect itself from a broad range of Russian hybrid attacks while prolonging Russia’s aggression in Ukraine.

    propose a European Defense Production Act to help fast-track processes for public procurement and spending.
  5. posner31_Spencer PlattGetty Images_trumptrial Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    What to Look for in Trump’s First Trial

    Eric Posner

    The intricate legal issues and colorful characters in Donald Trump's criminal trials will undoubtedly keep the media and the viewing public enraptured for months to come. But when it comes to the 2024 election, all that really matters is how the defendant appears to a narrow sliver of undecided voters.

    points out that optics, more than the law or the facts, will be what matters most for the election.
  6. nixonsaintil2_shark_749Getty Images_AIdataclimatecity shark_749/Getty Images

    AI Holds the Key to Resilient Cities

    Justina Nixon-Saintil surveys the technology's foreseeable applications in promoting urban sustainable development.
  7. ito36_ KAZUHIRO NOGIAFP via Getty Images_boj KAZUHIRO NOGI/AFP via Getty Images

    How Risky Is Japan’s Monetary-Policy Normalization?

    Takatoshi Ito considers the implications of the central bank’s exit from negative interest rates and quantitative easing.
  8. bansal1_Getty Images_family Getty Images

    As Families Change, So Must the Safety Net

    Neha Bansal urges governments to implement policies that promote intergenerational integration and solidarity.
  9. skidelsky200_Getty Images_speech Getty Images

    The Language of Political Control

    Robert Skidelsky views recent linguistic innovations as manipulative efforts to compel “correct” thought and perception.

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