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GLOBAL FINANCE

The Hopeful Science

Simon Johnson

Under what conditions do entrepreneurship and innovation thrive? How can developing countries shield themselves from negative shocks – and how can developed economies defend themselves from their own financial sectors’ shocking excesses? What do successful emerging markets have in common?

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RECENT COMMENTARIES FEATURED COMMENTARIES MOST READ COMMENTARIES
  • The Libertarian and the Lobbyists

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    listen download_podcast
    2012-01-23
    Among the Republican candidates still vying to challenge Barack Obama in November’s US presidential election, Ron Paul stands out for arguing consistently that government is the problem, not the answer, with regard to banking. But the real problem with financial regulation, a new study shows, is lobbying.... read
    Comments: 5   Recommended: 1   Read: 13956
  • Austerity and the Modern Banker

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    2011-12-20
    Big banks represent the ultimate in concentrated economic power in today’s economies: their executives want to get all the upside while facing none of the true downside. But capitalism without the prospect of failure is not any kind of market economy.... read
    Comments: 4   Recommended: 0   Read: 18105
  • Does Europe Have a Korean Option?

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    2011-11-23
    The eurozone could learn from the experience of Korea, which came through its crisis in the late 1990's more quickly than anyone expected, combining sensible reforms with a rapid recovery. The key was a large depreciation of the currency, the won – just as depreciation of the euro seems to be one likely way that the eurozone will turn the corner.... read
    Comments: 7   Recommended: 0   Read: 19219
  • Occupy the Mortgage Lenders

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    2011-10-20
    If the Occupy Wall Street movement tells us nothing else, it is that the last thing the US economy needs is more households overwhelmed by debt. That is why US banks should embrace a plan to restructure home mortgages – a quarter of which are worth more than the value of the underlying properties.... read
    Comments: 7   Recommended: 0   Read: 20129
  • Who Will Eclipse America?

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    2011-09-19
    A few years ago, some regarded Japan as having overtaken the US, and Europe, too, was supposedly vying for global economic dominance. Now it's China's turn – and it suffers from the same vulnerabilities that have stymied Europe and Japan.... read
    Comments: 10   Recommended: 0   Read: 17685
  • The Tea Party’s Modest Proposal

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    2011-08-12
    Jonathan Swift once wrote that, “Party is the madness of many, for the gain of the few.” That sums up America's Tea Party faction of the Republican Party, which has shown that it is willing to impose dramatic costs on the US economy and to ensure significantly slower growth.... read
    Comments: 26   Recommended: 0   Read: 33767
  • Defaulting to Big Government

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    2011-07-18
    Opponents of raising the US debt ceiling argue that the federal government is too big relative to the economy, and that drastic measures are needed to bring it under control. But the consequences of any default would, ironically, actually increase the size of government relative to the US economy.... read
    Comments: 1   Recommended: 2   Read: 22891
  • Europe’s Naked Banks

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    listen download_podcast
    2011-06-24
    European leaders are convinced that bank capital is “expensive,” in the sense that raising capital requirements would slow economic growth. But the latest developments in the Greek crisis show that the exact opposite is true – it’s European banks’ lack of capital that threatens to derail European and global growth.... read
    Comments: 0   Recommended: 1   Read: 23638
  • Will The US Have A “Debt Crisis”?

    Series: The Hopeful Science
    listen download_podcast
    2011-05-17
    John Boehner, Speaker of the US House of Representatives, is leading the Republican Party’s charge on fiscal policy, arguing that his side needs to see “trillions of dollars” in spending cuts in order for Congress to approve an increase in the US government’s debt ceiling. No one should believe him.... read
    Comments: 4   Recommended: 1   Read: 20684
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AUTHOR INFO

Simon Johnson, a former chief economist of the IMF, is co-founder of a leading economics blog, http://BaselineScenario.com, a professor at MIT Sloan, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, and co-author, with James Kwak, of 13 Bankers.