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                <title>Kenneth Rogoff | Project Syndicate RSS-Feed</title>
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                  <![CDATA[<p><i>What will drive recovery from the financial crisis of 2008? Will China eventually suffer a Japanese-style hard landing after decades of rapid growth? How long can Asia’s central banks be expected to prop up the dollar? Are we heading towards a world of multiple reserve currencies? Can India replicate China’s miracle? Will the euro zone expand and further transform Europe?</i></p>
<p>A few years ago, the term “world economy” was used as shorthand for the economies of the developed world. Now, China is too big to ignore and India is poised to join it as a global player. What happens in Brazil, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and a host of other countries can set stock markets everywhere trembling.</p>
<p>But the two engines of global growth over the past two decades – America’s huge trade deficit and China’s boom – are changing. If US consumption continues to shrink in response to the country’s indebtedness, will global growth ever revive?</p>
<p>With so many different regions and cultures in the mix, and an economy that never sleeps, most international economists are stumped. Indeed, few people anywhere have the knowledge and breadth of experience to analyze the world economy and give readers insight into where it is going.&nbsp;<b></b><b>Kenneth Rogoff</b> – <b>Harvard Economics Professor</b>, <b>former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund</b>, and <b>section chief at the International Finance Division of the US Federal Reserve Bank</b> – is one of those few.</p>
<p><b>Kenneth Rogoff</b> is a premier international economist. In addition to his experience at the IMF and the Federal Reserve, he has worked with the Bank of Japan, the Trilateral Commission, and a who’s who of economic institutions around the world. His publications span the fields of international finance, monetary policy, political budget cycles and economic development.</p>
<p>Policymakers everywhere have long viewed <b>Kenneth Rogoff</b>'s expertise as indispensable to designing national and global economic policies. In his monthly series <i><b>The Unbound Economy</b>,</i> written <b>exclusively</b> for <i>Project Syndicate</i>, <b>Kenneth Rogoff</b>'s gives readers worldwide access to the same insider’s perspective.</p>]]>
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                  <![CDATA[<p><i>What will drive recovery from the financial crisis of 2008? Will China eventually suffer a Japanese-style hard landing after decades of rapid growth? How long can Asia’s central banks be expected to prop up the dollar? Are we heading towards a world of multiple reserve currencies? Can India replicate China’s miracle? Will the euro zone expand and further transform Europe?</i></p>
<p>A few years ago, the term “world economy” was used as shorthand for the economies of the developed world. Now, China is too big to ignore and India is poised to join it as a global player. What happens in Brazil, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and a host of other countries can set stock markets everywhere trembling.</p>
<p>But the two engines of global growth over the past two decades – America’s huge trade deficit and China’s boom – are changing. If US consumption continues to shrink in response to the country’s indebtedness, will global growth ever revive?</p>
<p>With so many different regions and cultures in the mix, and an economy that never sleeps, most international economists are stumped. Indeed, few people anywhere have the knowledge and breadth of experience to analyze the world economy and give readers insight into where it is going.&nbsp;<b></b><b>Kenneth Rogoff</b> – <b>Harvard Economics Professor</b>, <b>former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund</b>, and <b>section chief at the International Finance Division of the US Federal Reserve Bank</b> – is one of those few.</p>
<p><b>Kenneth Rogoff</b> is a premier international economist. In addition to his experience at the IMF and the Federal Reserve, he has worked with the Bank of Japan, the Trilateral Commission, and a who’s who of economic institutions around the world. His publications span the fields of international finance, monetary policy, political budget cycles and economic development.</p>
<p>Policymakers everywhere have long viewed <b>Kenneth Rogoff</b>'s expertise as indispensable to designing national and global economic policies. In his monthly series <i><b>The Unbound Economy</b>,</i> written <b>exclusively</b> for <i>Project Syndicate</i>, <b>Kenneth Rogoff</b>'s gives readers worldwide access to the same insider’s perspective.</p>]]>
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    <title>Inflation Is Still the Lesser Evil</title>
    <description><![CDATA[The world’s major central banks continue to express concern about inflationary spillover from their recession-fighting efforts. That is a mistake: given the political, social, and economic risks of continued slow growth, policymakers should encourage a sustained burst of moderate inflation.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-benefits-of-higher-inflation-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>16</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-benefits-of-higher-inflation-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 06 Jun 2013 09:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Chris Van Es</media:copyright>
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    <title>Europe’s Lost Keynesians</title>
    <description><![CDATA[There is no magic Keynesian bullet for the eurozone’s woes, despite what many commentators and much of the public seem to believe. The eurozone’s difficulties stem from European financial and monetary integration having gotten too far ahead of actual political, fiscal, and banking union – not exactly a problem that Keynes tried to address.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-structural-focus-for-the-euro-crisis-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>28</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-structural-focus-for-the-euro-crisis-by-kenneth-rogoff</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-structural-focus-for-the-euro-crisis-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 09:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Tim Brinton</media:copyright>
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    <title>The Long Mystery of Low Interest Rates</title>
    <description><![CDATA[As policymakers and investors continue to fret over the risks posed by today’s ultra-low global interest rates, academic economists continue to debate the underlying causes. While everyone accepts that a global savings glut is at the root of the problem, no one has provided a convincing explanation of what, exactly, is driving it.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-are-long-term-interest-rates-so-low-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>18</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-are-long-term-interest-rates-so-low-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 04 Apr 2013 09:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Mexico Breaking Good?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Mexico is enjoying a manufacturing boom that has boosted its  exports to the US after a long secular decline. With China’s wages soaring and rising oil prices driving up shipping costs, production in Mexico is suddenly looking much more attractive, even taking security concerns into account.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/mexico-s-coming-growth-surge-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>7</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/mexico-s-coming-growth-surge-by-kenneth-rogoff</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/mexico-s-coming-growth-surge-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2013 12:50:06 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Margaret Scott</media:copyright>
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    <title>Blaming the Fed</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Critics of the Federal Reserve are having a field day with embarrassing revelations of its risk assessments on the eve of the financial crisis. But, while it is legitimate to criticize individual policymakers, their poor judgment does not impugn the entire institution.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/should-the-fed-have-foreseen-the-crisis-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>10</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/should-the-fed-have-foreseen-the-crisis-by-kenneth-rogoff</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/should-the-fed-have-foreseen-the-crisis-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 04 Feb 2013 14:30:28 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Pedro Molina</media:copyright>
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    <title>The Unstarvable Beast</title>
    <description><![CDATA[As US President in the 1980’s, the conservative icon Ronald Reagan described his approach to fiscal policy as “starve the beast”: cutting taxes will eventually force people to accept less government spending. So why has the cost of government – not only in the US – continued to rise inexorably?]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-economics-of-inexorably-rising-government-costs-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>32</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-economics-of-inexorably-rising-government-costs-by-kenneth-rogoff</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-economics-of-inexorably-rising-government-costs-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jan 2013 11:50:08 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Innovation Crisis or Financial Crisis?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Was the global financial crisis a harsh but transitory setback to advanced-country growth, or did it expose a deeper long-term malaise? The history of the first half of the twenty-first century may well turn on the answer.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technological-stagnation-and-advanced-countries--slow-growth-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>27</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technological-stagnation-and-advanced-countries--slow-growth-by-kenneth-rogoff</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technological-stagnation-and-advanced-countries--slow-growth-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 04 Dec 2012 18:20:10 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/2d34e247965bd0d3c5dc63f6fc01042e.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Chris Van Es</media:copyright>
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    <title>What’s Troubling India?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Just a couple of years ago, India was developing a reputation as an attractive investment location, with heads of state virtually tripping over one another to meet business leaders in Mumbai and pave the way for further trade and investment. Now their interest has faded, along with India's macroeconomic numbers.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/india-s-economic-slowdown-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>7</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/india-s-economic-slowdown-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 02 Nov 2012 09:50:05 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/347b6e9e725572eae177f717511576d2.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Chris Van Es</media:copyright>
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    <title>King Ludd is Still Dead</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Since the dawn of the industrial age, a recurrent fear has been that technological change will spawn mass unemployment. By and large, neoclassical economists' prediction that people would find other jobs, though possibly after a long period of painful adjustment, has been proven correct – but for how much longer?]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technology-unemployment-jobs-internet-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>32</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technology-unemployment-jobs-internet-by-kenneth-rogoff</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/technology-unemployment-jobs-internet-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 01 Oct 2012 15:00:14 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/2bd2d98d917005796906aa2a15b78e14.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Ending the Financial Arms Race</title>
    <description><![CDATA[As finance has become more complicated, regulators have tried to keep up by adopting ever more complicated rules. It is an arms race that underfunded government agencies have no chance to win, which means that it is time to change the nature of the contest.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ending-the-financial-arms-race-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/ending-the-financial-arms-race-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 06 Sep 2012 16:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/35c2f69e30aff7ae3d9803714636b6ff.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>How Long for Low Rates?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Global investors are apparently willing to accept extraordinarily low interest rates, even though they do not appear to compensate for expected inflation. But, while interest rates could fall still further, over the longer term this situation is not stable – and could unwind rapidly.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/how-long-for-low-rates-by-kenneth-rogoff</comments>
	<slash:comments>10</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/how-long-for-low-rates-by-kenneth-rogoff</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 07 Aug 2012 15:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/cad1cbdaf5d254f89d078a9d8b59e89c.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Will Governmental Folly Now Allow for a Cyber Crisis?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[When the financial crisis of 2008 hit, many shocked critics asked why markets, regulators, and financial experts failed to see it coming. Today, one might ask the same question about the global economy’s vulnerability to cyber-attack; indeed, the parallels between financial crises and the threat of cyber meltdowns are striking.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-governmental-folly-now-allow-for-a-cyber-crisis-</comments>
	<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-governmental-folly-now-allow-for-a-cyber-crisis-</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jul 2012 14:28:42 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/fd4161cf97f111609987a84139907fd8.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Austerity and Debt Realism</title>
    <description><![CDATA[With many of today’s advanced economies near or approaching the 90%-of-GDP level that loosely marks high-debt periods, expanding today’s already large deficits is a risky proposition, not the cost-free strategy that many advocate. On the contrary, the impact of prolonged high debt levels on long-term growth is likely to be profound.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/austerity-and-debt-realism</comments>
	<slash:comments>18</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/austerity-and-debt-realism</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jun 2012 12:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/b86b3c9ca8dc6d4d79d92537ff70574f.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Jim Meehan</media:copyright>
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    <title>Why a More Flexible Renminbi Still Matters</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Given the sharp drop in China’s current-account surplus, should the US, the IMF, and other players stop pressing China to move to a more flexible currency regime? The answer is “no,” because China’s economy is still plagued by massive imbalances, and a more flexible regime would provide an important stabilizer.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-a-more-flexible-renminbi-still-matters</comments>
	<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-a-more-flexible-renminbi-still-matters</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 02 May 2012 14:27:08 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>A Centerless Euro Cannot Hold</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Europe may never be an optimum currency area by any standard. But, without further profound political and economic integration – which may end up excluding some current eurozone members – the euro may not make it even to the end of this decade.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-centerless-euro-cannot-hold</comments>
	<slash:comments>12</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-centerless-euro-cannot-hold</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2012 04:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Jeremy Lin and the Political Economy of Superstars</title>
    <description><![CDATA[High salaries for athletes and movie stars are easily accepted by the public. So why, if a financial trader or a corporate boss is paid a fortune, does the public suspect that he or she must be undeserving or, worse, a thief.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/jeremy-lin-and-the-political-economy-of-superstars</comments>
	<slash:comments>10</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/jeremy-lin-and-the-political-economy-of-superstars</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 02 Mar 2012 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/a06e357449b07edb865f29aa3f11488c.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Margaret Scott</media:copyright>
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    <title>Coronary Capitalism</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Just as the financial industry caused a near-meltdown of the global economy in 2008, the food industry has facilitated the explosion of obesity around the world. In both cases, the links to broader problems with contemporary Western capitalism have become impossible to ignore.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/coronary-capitalism</comments>
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	<pubDate>Wed, 01 Feb 2012 15:50:13 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/6755f617d88579399a0d6bfa815fcf02.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Rethinking the Growth Imperative</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Modern macroeconomics often seems to treat rapid and stable economic growth as the be-all and end-all of policy. But, while that is the message from graduate classrooms to central-bank boardrooms to newspapers’ front pages, is it true?]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/rethinking-the-growth-imperative</comments>
	<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/rethinking-the-growth-imperative</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2012 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Is Modern Capitalism Sustainable?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Will modern capitalism be a victim of its own success in producing massive wealth?  As pollution, financial instability, health-care problems, and inequality continue to grow, and as political systems remain paralyzed, capitalism’s future might not seem so secure in a few decades as it seems now.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/is-modern-capitalism-sustainable</comments>
	<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/is-modern-capitalism-sustainable</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 02 Dec 2011 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>A Gravity Test for the Euro</title>
    <description><![CDATA[There are plenty of vaguely-plausible reasons why the euro has remained so firm against the dollar throughout the euro crisis, at least so far. But, with so many forces arrayed against the current exchange rate, and little reason for it to be maintained, don’t count on this stability sticking around.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-gravity-test-for-the-euro</comments>
	<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-gravity-test-for-the-euro</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 03 Nov 2011 04:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Kenneth Rogoff</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Newsart</media:copyright>
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