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                <title>Jeffrey Frankel | Project Syndicate RSS-Feed</title>
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                  <![CDATA[<p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f0ba19"><i>Are currency wars inevitable, given the dollar’s decline? Can today’s booming emerging markets effectively save for a rainy day – or are they already saving too much? What should governments do when world markets threaten their citizens’ living standards? What can small countries teach big countries?</i></p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f1ba19">The combined output of emerging-market economies now accounts for more than half of world GDP and energy consumption. The emerging countries also hold 70% of the world’s foreign-exchange reserves. As a result, rich countries no longer dominate either the global economy or the global economic-policy agenda. Emerging countries’ global integration, demand for resources, and huge capital inflows now determine rich countries’ economic performance – their inflation rates, employment levels, borrowing costs, and wages and profits.</p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f2ba19">Faster growth that lifts the living standards of hundreds of millions of people in poor countries boosts global demand and reins in inflation., Both should be a cause for celebration. Instead, many in the rich world are protesting as output and jobs shift to low-wage economies in Asia, Latin  America, and Africa. And many in the developing world complain that rich countries’ trade barriers, agricultural subsidies, and monetary policies are blocking their progress.</p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f3ba19">Clearly, then, the shift in the balance of global economic power will give rise to a radical re-thinking of economic policy in both rich and emerging countries. <b>Jeffrey Frankel, a professor at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government </b>and a<b> member of the US President’s Council of Economic Advisers under Bill Clinton</b>,<b></b>is a leading catalyst – and subtle interpreter –&nbsp;of the coming changes.</p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f4ba19">One of the most original thinkers in economics today, <b>Jeffrey Frankel</b> also directs the Program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the US <b>National Bureau of Economic Research</b>. Every month in <b><i>Mapping the Market</i></b>, written <b>exclusively</b> for <i>Project Syndicate</i>, <b>Jeffrey Frankel</b> navigates the contest of ideas that is reshaping global economic policy, and shows which ones are winning – and why.</p>]]>
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                  <![CDATA[<p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f0ba19"><i>Are currency wars inevitable, given the dollar’s decline? Can today’s booming emerging markets effectively save for a rainy day – or are they already saving too much? What should governments do when world markets threaten their citizens’ living standards? What can small countries teach big countries?</i></p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f1ba19">The combined output of emerging-market economies now accounts for more than half of world GDP and energy consumption. The emerging countries also hold 70% of the world’s foreign-exchange reserves. As a result, rich countries no longer dominate either the global economy or the global economic-policy agenda. Emerging countries’ global integration, demand for resources, and huge capital inflows now determine rich countries’ economic performance – their inflation rates, employment levels, borrowing costs, and wages and profits.</p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f2ba19">Faster growth that lifts the living standards of hundreds of millions of people in poor countries boosts global demand and reins in inflation., Both should be a cause for celebration. Instead, many in the rich world are protesting as output and jobs shift to low-wage economies in Asia, Latin  America, and Africa. And many in the developing world complain that rich countries’ trade barriers, agricultural subsidies, and monetary policies are blocking their progress.</p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f3ba19">Clearly, then, the shift in the balance of global economic power will give rise to a radical re-thinking of economic policy in both rich and emerging countries. <b>Jeffrey Frankel, a professor at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government </b>and a<b> member of the US President’s Council of Economic Advisers under Bill Clinton</b>,<b></b>is a leading catalyst – and subtle interpreter –&nbsp;of the coming changes.</p><p data-line-id="a6f87d0246f86fe415f4ba19">One of the most original thinkers in economics today, <b>Jeffrey Frankel</b> also directs the Program in International Finance and Macroeconomics at the US <b>National Bureau of Economic Research</b>. Every month in <b><i>Mapping the Market</i></b>, written <b>exclusively</b> for <i>Project Syndicate</i>, <b>Jeffrey Frankel</b> navigates the contest of ideas that is reshaping global economic policy, and shows which ones are winning – and why.</p>]]>
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    <title>The Flawed Origins of Expansionary Austerity</title>
    <description><![CDATA[As the case for austerity in a time of recession has weakened under the continuing onslaught of facts (most notably the recessions in Europe), advocates of fiscal stimulus have found the missteps of their opponents Carmen Reinhart, Ken Rogoff, and Niall Ferguson to be convenient weapons. But they are the wrong weapons.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-case-against-expansionary-austerity-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>8</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-case-against-expansionary-austerity-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 09:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Margaret Scott</media:copyright>
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    <title>Fear of Fracking</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Against all expectations, US emissions of carbon dioxide have fallen back to 1995 levels, owing almost entirely to hydraulic fracturing, the process of extracting natural gas from shale. Why, then, are environmentalists overwhelmingly opposed to the new technology.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/overcoming-objections-to-shale-gas-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>11</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/overcoming-objections-to-shale-gas-by-jeffrey-frankel</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/overcoming-objections-to-shale-gas-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Tue, 16 Apr 2013 09:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Newsart</media:copyright>
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    <title>The Economist’s Stone</title>
    <description><![CDATA[This year marks the 100th anniversaries of two distinct institutional innovations in American economic policy: the introduction of the federal income tax and the establishment of the Federal Reserve. They are worth commemorating, if only because we are at risk of forgetting what we have learned since then.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-federal-reserve-turns-100-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-federal-reserve-turns-100-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 13 Mar 2013 13:00:16 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>The Battle of the Bond Benchmarks</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Some prominent institutional bond investors are shifting their focus from traditional benchmark indices, which weight countries’ debt issues by market capitalization, toward GDP-weighted indices. But there is a risk that some investors could lose sight of the purposes of a benchmark index.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-trouble-with-gdp-weighted-bond-benchmarks-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-trouble-with-gdp-weighted-bond-benchmarks-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 11 Feb 2013 11:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Will Europe’s Fiscal Compact Work?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[At the start of 2013, the eurozone’s “fiscal compact” entered into force, owing to its ratification on December 21 by a 12th country, Finland, a year after German Chancellor Angela Merkel prodded eurozone leaders into agreement. But will it enforce budget discipline any more effectively than previous agreements?]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-europe-s-fiscal-compact-work-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-europe-s-fiscal-compact-work-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 18 Jan 2013 20:00:16 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Chris Van Es</media:copyright>
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    <title>Time for Nominal Growth Targets</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Monetary policymakers in some countries would do well to consider a shift toward targeting nominal GDP – a switch that could be phased in gradually in such a way as to preserve credibility with respect to inflation. Indeed, for many advanced economies, in particular, a nominal-GDP target is clearly superior to the status quo.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/monetary-policy-should-target-nominal-gdp-growth-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>7</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/monetary-policy-should-target-nominal-gdp-growth-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Sun, 16 Dec 2012 15:20:07 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Dean Rohrer</media:copyright>
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    <title>Cuban Time Travel</title>
    <description><![CDATA[For US citizens, the short trip to Havana requires navigating something of an invisible obstacle course, owing to the trade and travel embargo that their government maintains against Cuba. It also turns out to be a trip to the past – specifically, to 1959.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/cuba-s-search-for-a-new-economic-model-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/cuba-s-search-for-a-new-economic-model-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 22 Nov 2012 09:50:09 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/c3516219c61bac49b490fc5212ae9f9e.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Margaret Scott</media:copyright>
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    <title>Four Magic Tricks for Fiscal Conservatives</title>
    <description><![CDATA[The US is famous for its ability to innovate. Aspiring fiscal conservatives around the world thus might be interested in learning four novel tricks that American politicians commonly use when promising to cut taxes while simultaneously reducing budget deficits.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/fiscal-conservatives--four-tricks-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>14</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/fiscal-conservatives--four-tricks-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 22 Oct 2012 15:20:14 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/73f427352df87006b111eb7f6d6236ec.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Tim Brinton</media:copyright>
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    <title>Mitt Romney Rejects His Natural Voters</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Mitt Romney’s characterization of 47% of the American electorate as government dependents who refuse to take “personal responsibility” for their lives demonstrates anew that cultural generalizations, particularly in politics, are usually dangerous. In fact, Romney appears to have written off a large segment of his party’s own voters.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/mitt-romney-rejects-his-natural-voters-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>16</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/mitt-romney-rejects-his-natural-voters-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 19 Sep 2012 16:16:24 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Pedro Molina</media:copyright>
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    <title>A Flock of Black Swans</title>
    <description><![CDATA[“Black swan” events are usually thought to be so improbable that they can be ruled out. But such events are considered virtually impossible only by those whose frame of reference is limited in time and geographical area, while those who account for other countries and other decades or centuries know better.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-flock-of-black-swans-by-jeffrey-frankel</comments>
	<slash:comments>7</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-flock-of-black-swans-by-jeffrey-frankel</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/a-flock-of-black-swans-by-jeffrey-frankel</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 20 Aug 2012 13:18:28 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/91cb32871ff4fcb2438619096d9146ad.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Tim Brinton</media:copyright>
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    <title>The First World’s Fiscal Follies</title>
    <description><![CDATA[The world’s advanced economies remain divided over whether to strengthen budget balances in the short term or to use fiscal policy to promote recovery. But the debate is akin to asking whether it is better for a driver to turn left or right: depending on where the car is, either choice might be appropriate.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-first-world-s-fiscal-follies</comments>
	<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-first-world-s-fiscal-follies</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jul 2012 13:10:08 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/b5d384d2f70c47533b6165a0151ff7c7.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Which Eurobonds?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[The introduction of Eurobonds could be part of the solution to the eurozone's sovereign-debt crisis, if designed properly. Above all, German taxpayers will need some credible reason to believe that 20 years of false assurances have come to an end – that this is the last bailout.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/which-eurobonds-</comments>
	<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/which-eurobonds-</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jun 2012 16:20:11 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/d5e7f5177c9f195836c005fad873b206.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>The Death of Inflation Targeting</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Inflation targeting by central banks, a hugely popular monetary-policy anchor around the world, died in September 2008, when it became clear that those who had been relying on it had not paid enough attention to asset-price bubbles. But its death was never announced, owing to uncertainty over what should succeed it.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-death-of-inflation-targeting</comments>
	<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-death-of-inflation-targeting</link>
	<pubDate>Wed, 16 May 2012 08:37:37 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/1bc3e6d26cdb696a5f478b3f14d5d64a.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Dean Rohrer</media:copyright>
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    <title>Budgetary Wishful Thinking</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Clearly, part of the blame for many countries' current debt problems lies with voters who don’t want to hear that fiscal discipline means cutting programs that matter to them, and with politicians who tell voters only what they want to hear. But one factor has attracted little notice: systematically over-optimistic official forecasts.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/budgetary-wishful-thinking</comments>
	<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/budgetary-wishful-thinking</link>
	<pubDate>Thu, 12 Apr 2012 15:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>China Adjusts</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Not long ago, the renminbi was substantially undervalued and China’s trade surpluses were very large. But the situation is changing: forces of adjustment are at work in the Chinese economy, and foreign perceptions need to adjust as well.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-adjusts</comments>
	<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-adjusts</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 23 Mar 2012 04:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/241725f5fa78d85cb40291c32cbb0a4d.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Obama’s Recovery?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/obama-s-recovery</comments>
	<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/obama-s-recovery</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 17 Feb 2012 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
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			<media:copyright>Illustration by Change in Private Sector Employment (2008-2012)</media:copyright>
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    <title>Will Emerging Markets Fall in 2012?</title>
    <description><![CDATA[While emerging markets have far outperformed industrialized countries in recent years, many investors are concerned that these countries could be due for a fall in 2012, triggered by Europe’s woes or a hard landing in China. The timing of emerging-market crises suggests that they might be right to worry.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-emerging-markets-fall-in-2012-</comments>
	<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/will-emerging-markets-fall-in-2012-</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/6d848b4dfcdf5475c5ee1ec03f1295e1.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
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    <title>Escaping the Oil Curse</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Economists and other development specialists know why oil riches so often turn out to be a curse for countries. But they also know that political leaders have free will, and that countries can choose to use their resource bonanzas for the long-term economic advancement of their peoples.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/escaping-the-oil-curse</comments>
	<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/escaping-the-oil-curse</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/escaping-the-oil-curse</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 09 Dec 2011 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/6c5660b4473b855b1ed4954f21d41dd5.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Jon Krause</media:copyright>
	</media:content>
	
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>The Hour of the Technocrats</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Greece and Italy, desperate after their gridlocked political systems left them mired in debt and crisis, have both chosen technocratic economists rather than politicians to lead new governments. It is not a lack of political ability that will stymie them, but rather a lack of political power.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-hour-of-the-technocrats</comments>
	<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-hour-of-the-technocrats</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/the-hour-of-the-technocrats</link>
	<pubDate>Fri, 25 Nov 2011 05:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/36bb7c748cdbd65382507b115934f37b.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Newsart</media:copyright>
	</media:content>
	
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Barrels, Bushels, and Bonds</title>
    <description><![CDATA[Commodity-exporting countries have been booming in recent years, but they are highly vulnerable to a sudden plunge in dollar prices, as a result of a new recession, an increase in US real interest rates, fluctuations in climate, or random sector-specific factors. Commodity bonds may offer a neat way to circumvent these risks.]]></description>
	<comments>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/barrels--bushels--and-bonds</comments>
	<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/barrels--bushels--and-bonds</guid>
    <link>http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/barrels--bushels--and-bonds</link>
	<pubDate>Mon, 17 Oct 2011 04:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
	<dc:creator>Jeffrey Frankel</dc:creator>
	
	<media:content url="http://www.project-syndicate.org/default/library/132212177fff9f1febbcf559f6b38af2.square.jpg" height="100" width="100" medium="image" type="image/jpeg">
			<media:copyright>Illustration by Paul Lachine</media:copyright>
	</media:content>
	
  </item>

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