Ashoka Mody
Una mala lectura de la economía global
PRINCETON – En abril de 2010, las Perspectivas de la Economía Mundial del Fondo Monetario Internacional ofrecieron una evaluación optimista …
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PRINCETON – En abril de 2010, las Perspectivas de la Economía Mundial del Fondo Monetario Internacional ofrecieron una evaluación optimista …
SHANGHÁI – Cuando se piensa acerca de centros de innovación tecnológica, el Valle del Silicón, Seattle y Seúl son probablemente los primeros…
NUEVA YORK – Nunca en la historia de la comunicación escrita pudieron 140 caracteres tener las repercusiones que pueden tener ahora. Hace do…
PEKÍN – Es indiscutible que China está emitiendo dinero de manera excesiva. Sin embargo, las razones detrás del crecimiento masivo de la liq…
BRUSELAS/CIUDAD DE MÉXICO – Desde que la economía mundial comenzó a empeorar en 2008, el debate se ha centrado en las estrategias macroeconó…
WASHINGTON, DC – Algo que los expertos saben, y los inexpertos no, es que saben menos de lo que los inexpertos creen. Esto fue evidente en l…
BUENOS AIRES – La crisis financiera mundial ha planteado cuestiones fundamentales sobre los mandatos de los bancos centrales. En los últimos…
WASHINGTON, DC – For three decades, financial globalization had seemed inevitable. New information technologies made it possible to conduct …
FRÁNCFORT – La crisis del euro ya ha transformado a la Unión Europea de una asociación voluntaria de Estados iguales en una relación e…
Ten years ago, rich countries dominated the world economy, accounting for two-thirds of global GDP. Since then, their share has fallen to just over half. In ten years, it could decline to a mere 40%, with emerging markets producing most global output.
The pace of this shift in economic power is unprecedented, and raises as many questions as it does hopes. What will happen after globalization and (often) good policies have enabled virtually all developing countries to catch up with their richer peers? And how will incumbent powers respond to the new players that economic convergence is bringing to the fore – and to their demands for a greater say in global economic governance?
At the same time, while the path of productivity growth is shaping the nature of today’s new global economy, its key drivers, innovation and trade, are under threat. Cash-rich but gun-shy Western companies are skimping on research and development; emerging economies are rethinking their reliance on export-led growth; and rich and poor governments alike are tempted to intervene to shape the future.
In this environment, readers need to understand the ideas that are shaping – or deforming – the world economy. In Project Syndicate’s weekly series The New Global Economy, readers will be taken to the heart of the matter by those who know their subjects best. The roster of past Project Syndicate’s economic commentators, many of whom (and others like them) will contribute commentaries in the future, includes:
· senior officials, such as World Bank President Robert Zoellick, former Japanese Economy Minister Heizo Takenaka, Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble, and former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown;
· business leaders and financiers, such as Deutsche Bank Chairman Josef Ackermann, Mexican telecoms tycoon Carlos Slim, Barclay’s Capital Chairman Hans-Joerg Rudloff, and financier George Soros;
· economists, such as former European Central Bank Chief Economist Otmar Issing, Nobel laureate Edmund S. Phelps, and Jim O’Neill, Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
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