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  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 误读全球经济

    误读全球经济

    普林斯顿—2010年4月，IMF《世界经济展望》对全球经济做出了乐观评估，其中所描述的多速复苏足以在可预见的未来支撑4—5%的GDP年增长率——比2000—2007年泡沫期还要高。但是，此后，IMF稳步下调了其经济预测。事实上，今年的预期GDP增长率——3.3%，这是最新一期《世…

  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 中国的电子零售革命

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    中国的电子零售革命

    上海—当想到技术创新中心时，首先出现在你脑海里的大概是硅谷、西雅图和首尔。毕竟这些地方是亚马逊、苹果、Facebook、谷歌、英特尔、微软和三星的总部所在地，这些公司的创新改变了从金融服务到同新传媒各个行业的业务模式。但是，如今中国的“电子零售”（e-tail，面向消费者的电子商…

  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 黑客的市场？

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    黑客的市场？

    纽约——140个字符所能造成的影响已经在书面交流史上达到了顶峰。两周前，叙利亚电子军（SEA）在侵入美联社主推特账户（@AP）后发布了报导白宫两起爆炸事件和奥巴马总统受伤的虚假推特。短短几秒钟后，美国金融市场就出现了约1%的跌幅。过了几分钟，不少人发表推特进行反驳。白宫记者的推文…

  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 竞争因素

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    竞争因素

    布鲁塞尔/墨西哥城—2008年全球经济衰退开始以来，争论一直集中在解决危机、创造复苏的宏观经济战略和工具上。但纠正失衡和解决短期减速或衰退虽然重要，并不应该压倒为稳健可持续的经济增长创造长期条件的需要。目前，宏观经济政策既被指为经济问题的罪魁，也是克服经济问题的希望。但我们应该把…

  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 解决全球危机的两种政策方案

    解决全球危机的两种政策方案

    发自华盛顿特区——只有专家们才知道自己所知的比外行人认为的要少。这在刚刚闭幕的国际货币基金组织和世界银行集团春季会议中表现得尤为明显——各国财政部长、中央银行家和其他政策制定者们都被议程密集的三天会谈聚到了一起。我们的经济专业知识在基础方法上是很局限的。以货币和财政政策为例，尽管…

  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 过时的央行独立性

    过时的央行独立性

    布宜诺斯艾利斯—全球金融危机引起了人们对央行权威的根本性质疑。在过去几十年中，大部分央行将价格稳定性作为它们的唯一的最高目标。这导致了“通胀目标”作为货币政策框架的支配地位，反过来又形成了央行的操作独立性。这一政策是成功的：严格而精确的单一目标所带来的纪律让决策者得以控制——并征…

  • ?Version=Chinese Newsart for 德国的选择

    德国的选择

    法兰克福—欧元危机已经让欧盟从平等国家的自愿结盟转变为难以摆脱的债权-债务关系。如果有成员国退出联盟，则债权国将蒙受巨大损失，而债务国饱受深化其萧条、放大其债务负担、永久化其附庸地位的政策困扰。结果，如今危机已开始威胁欧盟本身的生存。这将是一场历史悲剧，只有在德国的领导下才能避免…

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The New Global Economy: Weekly Economics Series

Ten years ago, rich countries dominated the world economy, accounting for two-thirds of global GDP. Since then, their share has fallen to just over half. In ten years, it could decline to a mere 40%, with emerging markets producing most global output.

The pace of this shift in economic power is unprecedented, and raises as many questions as it does hopes. What will happen after globalization and (often) good policies have enabled virtually all developing countries to catch up with their richer peers? And how will incumbent powers respond to the new players that economic convergence is bringing to the fore – and to their demands for a greater say in global economic governance?

At the same time, while the path of productivity growth is shaping the nature of today’s new global economy, its key drivers, innovation and trade, are under threat. Cash-rich but gun-shy Western companies are skimping on research and development; emerging economies are rethinking their reliance on export-led growth; and rich and poor governments alike are tempted to intervene to shape the future.

In this environment, readers need to understand the ideas that are shaping – or deforming – the world economy. In Project Syndicate’s weekly series The New Global Economy, readers will be taken to the heart of the matter by those who know their subjects best. The roster of past Project Syndicate’s economic commentators, many of whom (and others like them) will contribute commentaries in the future, includes:

·        senior officials, such as World Bank President Robert Zoellick, former Japanese Economy Minister Heizo Takenaka, Russian Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble, and former British Prime Minister Gordon Brown;

·        business leaders and financiers, such as Deutsche Bank Chairman Josef Ackermann, Mexican telecoms tycoon Carlos Slim, Barclay’s Capital Chairman Hans-Joerg Rudloff, and financier George Soros;

·        economists, such as former European Central Bank Chief Economist Otmar Issing, Nobel laureate Edmund S. Phelps, and Jim O’Neill, Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

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