Mohamed A. El-Erian
Reinvigorating Egypt’s Economy
NEWPORT BEACH – Some two years into Egypt’s grass-roots revolution, the country’s economy is in a worrisome downward spiral. A growing numbe…
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NEWPORT BEACH – Some two years into Egypt’s grass-roots revolution, the country’s economy is in a worrisome downward spiral. A growing numbe…
NEWPORT BEACH – After years of tweaks, Japan has now initiated a major shift in its policy paradigm, with reactions ranging from great optim…
NEWPORT BEACH – What is the most urgent economic priority shared by countries as diverse as Brazil, China, Cyprus, France, Greece, Iceland, …
BARCELONA – In recent months, the dichotomy between booming financial markets, on the one hand, and sluggish economies and dysfunctional pol…
NEWPORT BEACH – After instant and seemingly coordinated fanfare in Europe and the United States, the proposal for a European Union-US free-t…
NEWPORT BEACH – Facing a turbulent political situation and recurrent street protests, Egypt’s political elite would be well advised to focus…
NEWPORT BEACH – Not many countries nowadays seek a strong exchange rate; a few, including systemically important ones, are already actively …
NEWPORT BEACH – Watching America’s leaders scramble in the closing days of 2012 to avoid a “fiscal cliff” that would plunge the economy into…
NEWPORT BEACH – In a four-day period in mid-December, three seemingly unrelated developments suggested that modern central banking is in the…
NEWPORT BEACH – I was nine years old when Egypt entered what became known as its “war of attrition” with Israel. During this period of “no w…
Will United States Treasury bills retain their gold-plated status? What would a more freely floating Chinese renminbi mean for the world economy? Is the eurozone a good bet to survive and grow? Can emerging-market countries somehow insulate themselves, at long last, from the destructive effects of volatile global capital flows?
In the early 1990’s, Bill Clinton’s adviser and campaign manager, James Carville, quipped that if he could be reincarnated, he would come back to life not as a king or a pope, but as the bond market, “which can intimidate everyone.” Indeed, financial markets now seem to have governments more at their mercy than ever before, as Europe’s sovereign-deb
But financial markets are neither evil and dictatorial nor beneficent and democratic. They need to be understood, not vilified. And few people have been more successful at comprehending financial markets – both theoretically and practically – than Mohamed A. El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, one of the world’s largest investment companies, with approximately $1.2 trillion of assets under management.
El-Erian, whose career has taken him from the International Monetary Fund to managing Harvard University’s endowment, is one of the few financiers whose words consistently move markets. Unlike most financiers, he is willing and able not only to explain the arcane workings of bond and other asset markets, but also to synthesize the fundamental factors – economic policies, growth prospects, or sector-specific trends – that move them. His description of the post-financial-crisis global economy as a “new normal” of slow growth and high unemployment for the foreseeable future encapsulated and ratified what many feared but few would say.
Every month in The Risk Factor, written exclusively for Project Syndicate, Mohamed El-Erian combines the highest professional and managerial experience with his proven analytical talent to provide an essential guide to key economic developments that no ordinary pundit or academic observer can match.
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Mohamed A. El-Erian is CEO and co-Chief Investment Officer of the global investment company PIMCO, with approximately $2 trillion in assets under management. He previously worked at the International Monetary Fund and the Harvard Management Company, the entity that manages Harvard University's endowment. He was named one of Foreign Policy's Top 100 Global Thinkers in 2009, 2010, 2011, and 2012. His book When Markets Collide was the Financial Times/Goldman Sachs Book of the Year and was named a best book of 2008 by the Economist.
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