Michael Spence
Learning About Growth from Austerity
MILAN – In a recent set of studies, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff used a vast array of historical data to show that the accumulation of…
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MILAN – In a recent set of studies, Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff used a vast array of historical data to show that the accumulation of…
MILAN – The world’s developed economies, of which the United States is by far the largest and systemically most important, face a range of d…
MILAN – Last summer, after two years of growing uncertainty, systemic risk in the eurozone finally began to wane, as conditional commitments…
MILAN – Until recently, relatively little attention was paid to states’ balance sheets. Measurement and reporting were neglected. Even today…
MILAN – New technologies of various kinds, together with globalization, are powerfully affecting the range of employment options for individ…
NEW YORK – China is at a crucial point today, as it was in 1978, when the market reforms launched by Deng Xiaoping opened its economy to the…
NEW YORK – The hurricane on America’s eastern seaboard last week (which I experienced in lower Manhattan) adds to a growing collection of ex…
NEW YORK – With most of the world focused on economic instability and anemic growth in the advanced countries, developing countries, with th…
NEW YORK – The world’s high-income countries are in economic trouble, mostly related to growth and employment, and now their distress is spi…
MILAN – It is no secret that the global economy is struggling. Europe is in the midst of a crisis whose root cause is a structurally flawed …
Will an open world economy survive today’s financial crisis? Are the old strategies for growth still viable, or must countries radically alter their policies? Can climate-sensitive growth be achieved? Are big income inequalities inevitable?
The undertow of the impressive wave of wealth creation that preceded the 2008 financial crisis was the unexpected fragility of the new prosperity, as well as a massive increase in inequality between advanced and developing countries – and within individual nations. Part of the damage, exposed when the wave crashed and receded, has been a loss of economic direction almost everywhere.
So what will the post-crisis world ultimately look like? Will countries turn their backs on globalization, and, if so, what will a retreat from economic openness mean for growth? How will the rise of China and India affect the advanced economies? What lessons does the crisis hold for developing countries?
The future is always unpredictable, but it has rarely been as opaque as it is today, when political and economic uncertainty is compounded by a dazzling pace of technological innovation. Only the world’s best minds can help readers distinguish the essential from the superficial and glimpse what is likely to come next.
This is what Michael Spence, a recipient of the 2001 Nobel Prize in Economics, former Professor of Economics at Harvard, and Dean of Stanford Business School, does every month in his series The New Wealth of Nations, written exclusively for Project Syndicate. As Chairman of the Commission on Growth and Development, an international body charged with charting new roads to growth in the wake of the financial crisis, Michael Spence has made it his mission to apply his expertise to help design tomorrow’s global economic architecture. Now, he has chosen Project Syndicate to share what he has learned along the way.
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Michael Spence, a Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at NYU’s Stern School of Business, Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University, and Academic Board Chairman of the Fung Global Institute in Hong Kong. He was the chairman of the independent Commission on Growth and Development, an international body that from 2006-2010 analyzed opportunities for global economic growth.
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