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Europe’s Solidarity Imperative

LONDON – When Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, publicly proclaimed that the ECB would do “whatever it takes” to ensure the future stability of the euro, the effect of his remarks was immediate and remarkable. Borrowing costs fell dramatically for the governments of Italy and Spain; stock markets rallied; and the recent decline in the external value of the euro was suddenly checked.

It remains unclear how long-lasting the effects of Draghi’s intervention – or of the public support offered to him by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President François Hollande, and Italian premier Mario Monti – will prove to be. What we can say with certainty is that Draghi’s remarks and the reaction they evoked demonstrate that the fundamental problems of the eurozone are not primarily financial or economic; they are political, psychological, and institutional.

International observers took such notice of Draghi’s commitment to do “whatever it takes” to save the euro because so many of them have come to doubt other leading European players’ commitment to do likewise. (Some of these doubts are, of course, politically or financially self-serving; a certain model of financial capitalism perceives the euro as a threat, and its adherents will do everything they can to bring about its demise.)

But eurozone leaders’ inability to assuage doubt about their commitment to the euro after two and a half years of crisis suggests that the problem is deeply rooted. In their own defense, eurozone ministers point to the raft of reforms that they have introduced over the past 30 months, which will promote economic modernization, the restoration of sound government finances, and closer economic coordination.

Unfortunately, these reforms have all too often served as displacement activity – worthwhile in themselves, but failing to answer unambiguously the question posed with increasing urgency by international markets: Are the eurozone’s largest and currently most prosperous members absolutely committed to its continuation?

No one doubts that Germany and most other eurozone members would prefer the single currency to continue. Today’s uncertainty concerns whether this preference may be overridden by pressing considerations of national politics, or resentment at the slow pace of reform in certain eurozone countries.

Indeed, a German proverb to the effect that “trust is good, but control is better” has been the basis of eurozone leaders’ policy since the developed world’s debt crisis engulfed the single currency’s system of governance. The implication is clear: trust between the members of the eurozone cannot be taken for granted, but must be earned and maintained.

The limitations of this approach have now been revealed. While the eurozone’s richer countries have indeed done much to help their troubled neighbors, they have done so in an obtrusively conditional, transitional, and incremental fashion.

At one level, it is entirely understandable that Germany and other eurozone countries should demand assurances that their resources will not be wasted. But this constant need for reassurance, for the limiting of risk and involvement to the minimum necessary, provokes a fear that at some point Germany and others will judge their partners’ assurances insufficient and the risks run in helping them intolerable. If that happens, the euro’s demise cannot be far behind.

The Treaty of Rome, signed in 1957, represented a noble and ambitious departure in European history. Solidarity and predictability in international relations, based on common institutions and common interests, would ensure Europe’s prosperity and stability much more effectively than had the traditional balancing act of high-wire diplomacy, whose practitioners had too often crashed to the ground.

The euro was founded in this spirit of solidarity, and its contribution to limiting economic and financial instability in Europe over the past five years should not be underestimated. The example of the 1930’s is a reminder of how much worse things might have been. Eurozone leaders’ temptation to revert to earlier, discredited models of European relationships was bearable for a time, but it has now reached the limit of its tolerability.

My impression is that German public and political opinion is beginning to recognize the economic devastation for Europe and Germany implied by a euro breakup. German politicians bear the important democratic responsibility of reinforcing this realization and advocating the steps needed to avert a catastrophe.

It can be no part of a well-functioning democracy for leaders to hide unwelcome truths from their electorates. It would be a delusion to imagine that the eurozone need only follow its current path to ensure the single currency’s future. If nothing else, that current path unacceptably accentuates the differences between member states in a way that is politically and economically unsustainable in the longer term.

The philosophy of control and reciprocity that until now has characterized the eurozone’s approach to its crisis of governance needs to be replaced by one of solidarity and all that follows from it. This means a more balanced economic policy within the eurozone, an enhanced role for the ECB, a real banking and financial union, and a road map to partial and conditional mutualization of legacy debt.

Eurozone leaders have spoken about all of these, but the time has come for unequivocal commitments and a realistic timetable for action. We are now perilously close to the moment when “muddling through” could give way to renewed crisis. So the Bundesbank’s self-righteous zeal in asserting that its responsibilities are somehow graver – and more binding – than those of other central banks is dangerously wrong-headed. “Nein” merely brings calamity closer.

None of Europe’s financial problems would look remotely as challenging today if doubts about the eurozone’s future had been dispelled two years ago, and the reputational and financial costs would have been dramatically less than they have been in the past 30 months. In the long run, solidarity is cheaper for all involved, while its absence could become ruinously expensive in the foreseeable future.

Read more from our "Central Banks in the Firing Line" Focal Point.

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  1. Commented

    de Lafayette

    {Unfortunately, these reforms have all too often served as displacement activity – worthwhile in themselves, but failing to answer unambiguously the question posed with increasing urgency by international markets: Are the eurozone’s largest and currently most prosperous members absolutely committed to its continuation?}

    This may be so because markets operate not only in euros but in dollars. The latter have a lender-of-last-resort. The former should have had one from the onset, but did not.

    Finance markets are all too human, despite the technology involved. They know the dollar is solid because both the Fed and the US government will defend it. This might indeed be the very same sentiment of the EuroZone, but do its lack of focus in a central government, the Euro does not have the same stature figuratively as the euro.

    Yes, the institutional guarantees are all there. But they lack the power of just one voice. Draghi at the moment is that voice, but European financiers especially know that he does not speak with the same authority as, say, Bernanke.

    So, it will take a recovery in economic conditions for finance markets to dampen their jitters. And that time is still considerably far away.

  2. Commented
    Portrait of Christopher T. Mahoney

    Christopher T. Mahoney

    "A certain model of financial capitalism perceives the euro as a threat, and its adherents will do everything they can to bring about its demise."
    The eurozone has been revealed to be a skyscraper built on sand. Bankruptcy and depression stalk Greece, Cyprus, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland and probably Slovenia (for now). These countries require a new central bank, either in Frankfurt or at home. The European countries that retained monetary sovereignty have done better than those which surrendered it. This is the economic problem which is driving Europe's political problems; not a lack of "solidarity". It adds nothing to this discussion, which should be temperate, to introduce primitive xenophobia into the discussion. The Jews did not cause Germany to lose the Great War, and Wall Street did not cause the eurozone crisis, no matter how many times this canard is repeated. However, I would be interested to learn exactly what these seditious adherents of finance capitalism are actually doing to bring about the euro's demise. Are they poisoning the granaries, or spreading defeatism? Who are they? Eichengreen, Krugman, Feldstein, Meltzer and Bernanke? Are they all secretly short the euro?

  3. Commented

    Pieter Keesen

    In Dutch we have a proverb which runs along the lines of "The butcher grading his own meat" which aludes to principle that it is always easier to be critical of others then to be self-critical. It also conveys a degree of dishonesty that accompanies a lack of objectivity and control.
    Why I think this proverb is relevant to mr. Sutherland's article. Well, the distrust and dishonesty at the source of the Euro crisis is the corruption of Greece in order to enter EMU. Mr. Sutherland's company willingly assisted in engineering the Greek balance sheet to fit the Euro picture. Why Goldman Sachs is still allowed to operate in the EU is hence a mystery to me.
    Now mr. Sutherland advices solidarity to revert a financial calamity. I wonder what he means with solidarity? So here in Holland, we fire teachers and nurses, and cut the pensions of people who saved decade after decade, all in order to save the balance sheets of other countries where people did not save and the government has not made the nessary reform? Who will benefit from the sacrifices made by the middle class of Germany and Holland?
    The distrust lies in the fact that the money trasfered will land in the pockets of people who do not absolutely need it, and will continue a corrupt nepotistic situation in countries that four decades ago were still governed by military junta's. In the Netherlands I can assure you, European solidarity is slowly being perceived as a fools errand.
    Imagin this picture, a harbor worker in Rotterdam pays 50 per cent tax on the overtime he made to unload a Chinese cargo ship. The revenue generated by this tax is used to finance the Greek government, which can no longer access the capital market. In Greece, the cousin of some public official landed a nice job in the harbor of Athens. The cousin did the same work as his Dutch counter part, but took twice as long, where he made no overtime and spread the work of unloading a ship with military equipment, over two days. Yet the Greek harbor worker made more money, and in the end paid no taxes because he failed to declare like many of his fellow patriots.
    I now this example is extreme. But get of your high horse mr. Sutherland. The Dutch and Germans no very well to make a difference between solidarity and injustice. It is actualy the cost of euro which makes for less solidarity at home, out of fear of the doom scenarios pictured by financial moguls.

  4. Commented

    PROCYON MUKHERJEE

    Amartya Sen in his seminal lecture given to Bank of International Settlements in June ‘12 pointed out the central fallacy of the argument on European solidarity; more than the sequencing issues of political union and fiscal union, the real challenge lies in the understanding of ‘what public expense is for’ when a ‘cluster of quite distinct demands’ compete in an argumentative framework where nations clearly at an advantage contend with the less advantaged for the piece of the pie that has stopped to grow.

    He has further argued that austerity measures or its reversal cannot proceed until the polity had progressed to answer the basic question, what the public spending would achieve. The ‘allocation errors in the market economy’ cannot be corrected by the self-correcting forces of the market economy and could actually be exacerbated by lack of public spending support in those sectors that are intrinsically weak. When an output gap is likely to persist over longer period of time, simply tweaking on monetary solutions while ignoring the fundamental debate on public spending would tantamount to pushing an agenda that is neither Keynesian, nor non-Keynesian.

    Solidarity debate must shift to public policy debate; there has never been any dearth of fund flow in this regard, but the question is where did it actually flow and what benefits for the long term were derived out of it.

    Procyon Mukherjee

  5. Commented
    100%

    Zsolt Hermann

    Solidarity, reassurance, mutual support is the first positive step in the right direction.
    The positive, sustainable future of the Eurozone, and in fact the whole global human community depends on two pillars.
    The first one is the understanding that whether we like it or not we live in a global, integral and totally interdependent network with each other. Thus only a global, integral and mutually responsible governance, planning and action can sustain success and prosperity for all. The connections already exist in between all of us, but since we still view the system as fragmented, polarized, disconnected, we still want to exploit all connections for our own benefit regardless of the rest of the network.
    The second pillar is even more difficult than the first one. We have to admit that the whole constant quantitative growth, expansive economical model, based on the excessive overproduction and over consumption of mostly useless and harmful products, requiring constant debt to maintain is unnatural and unsustainable. Even if we do not admit it, this structure will collapse because it goes against all the natural laws governing our reality. But if we in a proactive way started changing the system before it collapses leaving behind chaotic circumstances, we could ensure an easier transition.
    We need to start taking seriously and spreading all the factual, scientific information explaining the natural laws governing interconnected living system which we are part of, and how we could adapt to our system in a way that it is beneficial to all element.
    Based on the overwhelming message from that information the secure, sustainable future of humanity is found in necessity and resource based economy, governed in a global, mutually responsible manner.

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