Wednesday, July 23, 2014
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Африканский Рог Изобилия

РИМ – По прошествии шести месяцев, унесших жизни 10 тысяч человек, голод в Сомали, вызванный самой суровой засухой за последние 60 лет, официально закончился. Однако более широкий кризис в Африке продолжается.

На Африканском Роге - в Сомали, Джибути, Эфиопии, Кении, Южном Судане и Судане  14,6 миллионов детей, женщин и мужчин продолжают испытывать дефицит продовольствия. Тогда как западнее, в странах Сахела – Нигере, Чаде, Мали, Буркина-Фасо и Мавритании еще 14 миллионов человек находятся под угрозой.         

Ситуация осложняется тем, что в Сомали сохраняется высокая степень риска возврата голода, если не будут предприняты скоординированные долгосрочные меры. Мы не можем предотвратить засуху, но мы можем попытаться предотвратить вызываемый ею голод.     

На протяжении всего одного десятилетия Африканский Рог пережил три засухи, за которыми последовали тяжелые кризисы. Каждый раз международное сообщество договаривается о принятии долгосрочных мер, необходимых для предотвращения очередной трагедии. Но каждый раз при выпадении долгожданных осадков все благие намерения мирового сообщества исчезают.    

Мы не должны допустить повторения этого снова, мы должны сплотить воедино наши усилия уже сейчас, чтобы раз и навсегда избавить регион от голода. Бездействие будет вдвойне трагично, поскольку потеря жизней и человеческие страдания будут абсолютно напрасны: как показало уничтожение голода в Сомали, Продовольственная и сельскохозяйственная организация ООН (ФАО) совместно с партнерами начинает исправлять ситуацию.      

Всемирная продовольственная программа, ЮНИСЕФ, ФАО и международные неправительственные организации теперь осуществляют программы по оказанию помощи в чрезвычайных ситуациях, предполагающие не только раздачу продовольствия и средств производства, как это было в прошлом, но также реализацию механизмов «Деньги за труд» и использование ваучеров на продовольствие. Эти программы позволяют семьям покупать продовольствие на местных рынках, предоставляя им таким образом возможность не покидать места их проживания, стимулируя при этом экономический рост и восстановление местной инфраструктуры, необходимой для ведения сельского хозяйства и животноводческого производства.   

С помощью такого подхода агентства не только предоставляют продовольственную помощь людям, срочно в ней нуждающимся, но также помогают им улучшить условия жизни и укрепить устойчивость к будущим кризисам. Например, фермеры в регионах Бэй и Шабель в Сомали  воспользовались преимуществами недавних осадков и помощью, оказанной ФАО и другими агентствами, и удвоили свое производство кукурузы и сорго и собрали самый крупный урожай за последние годы.   

Мировое сообщество должно продолжать внедрять новые подходы, если оно хочет сдержать текущие и предотвратить будущие кризисы. Даже на пике голода некоторые фермеры Сомали успешно выращивали и продавали свои урожаи. Это стало возможным благодаря тому, что до кризиса ФАО внедряла там программы «Деньги за труд», чтобы помочь жителям восстановить местную ирригационную систему и сделать доступными для фермеров качественные высокоурожайные семена.

Однако недостаточно обеспечить благоприятные условия только для производства продовольствия.  Бедные фермеры могут вырастить огромные урожаи, но если не будет дорог, по которым продукция будет перевозиться или рынков сбыта, на которые она будет поставляться, они так и останутся бедными и уязвимыми. Очевидно, что если у населения не будет денег, чтобы купить то, что производят фермеры, их усилия будут напрасными. Вот почему так важно стимулировать как местное предложение, так и местный спрос.     

Вливание средств в местную экономику может помочь им преуспеть. Однако сельские жители нуждаются в большем, чтобы вести продуктивную и полноценную жизнь, а именно в базовых системах социальной защиты, образовании, здравоохранении, эффективных системах управления рисками и личной безопасности.      

ФАО обновляет свои обязательства по уничтожению голода в Африке. Однако эта цель, очевидно, находится за пределами возможностей одного международного агентства или государства, работающих в одиночку. Достижение этой цели потребует создания партнерств между государствами, региональными органами, организациями гражданского общества и частным сектором.     

Сочетание прямой помощи в чрезвычайных ситуациях и долгосрочных мер может помочь вывести страны из затяжного кризиса на путь к устойчивому развитию. С помощью активизации текущих усилий сельское хозяйство может также стать ключевым фактором в установлении мира и стабильности на Африканском Роге, что является необходимым условием для роста и процветания в этом регионе.      

Засуху невозможно предотвратить. Но голод мы предотвратить можем. Это немыслимо, что международное сообщество допускает подобную ситуацию.

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  1. CommentedJonathan Lam

    Gamesmith94134: Climate-Smart Smallholders
    Since Rwanda’s recent experience provides a beacon of hope that increased agricultural output and environmental protection can go hand-in-hand; and in the country’s south-western Ngororero District project backed by the International Fund for Agricultural Development has helped Rwandan farmers to increase crop yields by up to 300%; then it is best advertisement for investment for private and public funds.
    In term of redistribution of wealth, the nature has its way in balancing itself after the effects of the extremes. For the years of our abusive monetarism, US lost its competitiveness to China because it has maximized its effectiveness to trade; after the developed nations ran amok with its credits. For much of the international financial transaction summed to 600 trillion a year, in assumption, US ran at 20% and due to the shrinkage on 3% growth. It is about 120 trillion normally. Due to the unsettled EU debts, the cash flow is running at 95% even though DJ jumped to 13000, some of its investment went south or the emerging markets. Then the South nations may grow rapidly at 7% in 2012, and the labors can grow 10-15% if productivity proven to be positive even under the shadow of the Middle East oil Crisis.
    Eventually, the 120 trillion by US will cut as well; it is why the FED is suggesting the EQ3 on liquidity. I am not sure how firm the dollar is to other currencies at present 76; but if it is running under the nominal capacity. The trend interacted with the aftermath of the EU crisis. It will extend for seven years or till another resolution is available. In between, inflation will hit the developed nations as well since the emerging market may give in the rise for cost after the boom. Then, the import/export of US will reverse itself afterward back to square one of another cycle.
    If national policies and international development initiatives support the transition to climate-smart agriculture in these ways, we have no doubt that smallholder everywhere will step up and do their part to help save the planet. Moreover, there more funds are available to the South Hemisphere like Africa or South America; if these investors are convinced that the North, as the EU crisis will continue and American economy is deteriorating from the high rise of cost and low interest rates.
    Why not FAO or UA think big like the movie like: Salmon fishing in Yemen?
    I paid $42 for Disneyland I never been, is there a Cocoa farm in Cote d’lvoire with less of child labor I can invest in? Or, is there a rice plantation in Ghana available? These are the answers to urbanization of Africa that in creation of the theme farm village turns to township with a mill and a better build in transportation. Perhaps, these climate-smart smallholders can turn them into shareholder of the local innovated government bonds to the corporation of Africa.
    The lesson is simple: identify the climate-smart farming practices and techniques led by the NGO office and Development Banks or AU; that can boost agricultural production, with the cooperation of the Nations to affirm the policy and functionary to procure it policy and financial system. African Nations need the private investment and create a policy environment that enables the utility of human labor resources and local innovations to start working on a theme or a formula to lure its investors. Without foreign investors from other nations, the resources of just by African Nations are limited to growth. This is the moment the African Nations can stand on its own human resources to grow.
    “In receiving alms, you may lose an arm.” Why climate-Smart Small holder? They can be a share-holder of its theme farm cooperation after IPO. Dream on it and don’t sleep on it. Time limited.
    May the Buddha bless you?

  2. CommentedJonathan Lam

    Gamesmith94134: why fair trade?

    After the effects of “barbed-wire barriers to imports” suggested by the businessmen and union members in US or the developed nations, they should understand the nature of their present financial crisis that they lost their competitiveness by a wide margin in the global term, and eliminate the choice for its people from affordability to growth because monopoly can level off its local innovation as well. Why can’t its industries be more effective or efficient to cut cost or lower price even after they met their competitions?
    Recently in China, I saw the railways imported from US, built in China in the 20s, they are still running. It was the top of technology for US, and we have the football team name Pittsburg Steelers----one of my favorite team. When the piece of the Oakland Bridge cracked, we must import it from China since we lost our competitiveness and effectiveness to pricing to the steel industry to China. Pittsburg Steelers turned into an icon for American Football and industry of its own, Subsequently, the township and its steel worker union had made the bureaucrats proud of the steel industry that even Americans cannot afford; but, they can complain the economists outsourcing the industries for profitability. I am not prudential in protectionism since I am not sure why people do not throw stone inside the glass house; but the greenhouse effect for labor is costly, and the consequence of protectionism is anemic to growth in all terms of all imports or exports due to the loss of local innovations or the profitability under the labor cost that industries compete both fair and unfair competitions including anti-dumping or tariffs.
    In the recent years after we reckon the deficits wrecked the developed nations, and the surpluses prospers the emerging market nations. Many suggested the zero sum fair trade that many developed nations are dumping their technologies like green industries with high prices to the emerging nations in order to create its equilibrium; however, the resistance is high since its benefits to its consumers are minimal. Therefore, I would expect the bases of its consumers must be expanded first that the low-earning labors in these nations must achieve its sustainable living standard to be benefited to the technology transfers; then, the level of consumerism should meet its need in order to create the chain reaction of the supply and demand. Perhaps, they also need education to gain control systematically through the structural developments based on the foundation of necessity and affordability. Otherwise, the ClubMed syndrome will repeat to spread throughout the emerging market nations too; and, it was how the PIIGS got affected since 92’ that tourism did not help them to produce much to the bases of consumers, instead, they were subdued by the corruption and deficits as well.
    “Mark Sidwell argues that FAIRTRADE keeps uncompetitive farmers on the land, holding back diversification and mechanization. According to Sidwell, the FAIRTRADE scheme turns developing countries into low-profit, labor-intensive agrarian ghettos, denying future generations the chance of a better life.”
    In assuring the outcome of the FAIRTRADE can be the coming generation, we must develop the appropriate system or superstructure for monitoring the process in opening the commodity markets for those developing countries. Perhaps, in order to stretch the safety net for the poor farmers or labor, I think the organizing the groups in common interest may use the cooperative system that the group of small farmers can bundle up in their corps or commodities to set their corporation to market their goods. However, I would recommend the Development Bank of the United Nations as the free agent for Fair Trade which these developments can be invested in the open markets, and the organized grower or producers can grow into corporations with co-operatives; since some of the developments may have involved with international financial system and assisted in the market system during the transactions. Also, there must be a representative for the grower and producer like Africa Union, ASEAN or EU to represent and ensure the normalcy of its productivity and transparency on the transaction of these commodities.
    “That justification will not convince economists, who prefer a dryer sort of reasoning. But it is not out of place to remind ourselves that economists and bureaucrats need not always have things their own way.”
    Finally, if we must open the bases for new consumers, we must give the poor farmer and labors a chance to taste the FAIR TRADE and move away from poverty, we must stop the monopoly and give free trade a chance; then these new consumers can save us from the present financial crisis. If we accept the fact that we do need to trade honestly and share generously among nations and countries of people; there must be a system to protect the coming generation of grower and producer and a superstructure of networks to assure everyone is applying at will.
    May the Buddha bless you?

  3. CommentedJonathan Lam

    Gamesmith94134: Why Development Aid is Not Enough

    Erick Solheim is right on the development aid is not enough, because the system does not give a proper redistribution of the wealth to the poor; instead, it created the sovereignty debts for the developer nations since there is not an appropriate system to support or police the developments. It is because the ones control the funds are not subject to the necessity with lesser control in term of supply and demand, so whatever the outcome of the project is being manipulated my its participants, of the ruling class like brokers, manufacturers and financiers. Besides, they are to the projects based on profitability and control, whatever how fruitful the outcome of the project are. Profits are goes to the ruling class and never the entrepreneurs or its producers since they turned into labor by class by the ruling parties after the goods are subsidized by its government and price are controlled by the medium like future market systems or manufacturers.
    Perhaps, it sounds like I am anti-market system or free trade, but throughout my years of observation through the transition of the past to present. I am seriously considering the system is at fault since the polarization of the up-rising of the labor classes or the poor and no-solution ruling class. And, I opposed the Millennium Development Goals because it does not have a proper system in maintaining the progress and misses the goal by proportion.

    In example of story I heard of, the grain production in China, farmer got only 20% of the sack of wheat, the rest went to the processors or the mill, and the marketing. Does it really farmer’s four months works is lesser than a five minute phone call? Or the processor can give a better price to the public under the price control means the lower pay for farmers, the public may be subsidized under automation, or the farmer should be compensate more when he market his grain.

    There is another story on the bullet train as the infrastructure developed in California, USA. It was cancelled because the cost of it went up three times as estimated; after its funds was diverged to projects for traffic congestion instead of buying lands that needed to build its train. I do not blame those refuse to sell the land at the lower price, but I cursed at those prospectors buying the land to sell---- developers with close tie to its friends on the projects.

    • Do people learn anything from the ClubMed incident? From boom to doom, it is all delusions; just because the project is lack of control and prospectors are those control the progress; and the wealth does not trickle down as it thought but the middle man made it fortune with its alliance with the ruling class.

    • “Since 2000, when the international community adopted the Millennium Declaration and the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)”. Again, I question on the international community by G-20; are they work for the brokerage or the labors? And how they market their goals? I like it better if they can be inclusive to the zones of the development and monitored by the local or market system that the development can appeal it case, not brokers.

    • “Power has also shifted in the global political arena, with the global financial crisis catalyzing the emergence of the G-20”, why just 20 and not all of world takes like the United Nations with full members of it working together to avoid manipulation of the prospectors. I think the farmer should know how much he deserves in the deal then he can compete on the market of the world, not to its processors or mills.

    Finally, development aid is not enough indicates the lesser profit most of the needed can get; and its aid turned into subsidies for its government or prospectors for its dealing and wheeling. It certainly needs a neutral zone for the needed to compete in our present market system among its brokerage and government. Therefore, corrupted or collapsed will be evaluated by the real communities of the Zone; not to the financier or the ones who signed in the projects. There must be a resolution comes from the United Nations Security council that can stop the hegemony from ruining the global economy by manipulating and misrepresenting the world in lesser of the global totality.

    Sorry! G-20, the cook does not get his best meal, and the waiter serves only its customers; and Gourmet Restaurant gave the tasteful on a few only, McDonald provides most with a full stomach for lesser price. Development aid can never be enough if it serves only a few by proportions.

    May the Buddha bless you?

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